Afan Lido v Llantwit Major Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLlantwit Major to win ✗48% · @1.67

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62

Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Afan Lido welcome Llantwit Major to Princess Margaret Way for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 20 March (20:30 WAT). In the table, Afan Lido are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Llantwit Major are 15th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Afan Lido, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Cambrian & Clydach, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Llantwit Major, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cwmbran Celtic, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Momentum favours Llantwit Major, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.5 for Afan Lido.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Afan Lido 1.5 xG, Llantwit Major 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Afan Lido 29%, draw 23%, Llantwit Major 48%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Afan Lido to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Afan Lido 1–1 Llantwit Major. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Afan Lido29%fair 3.41 · @4.00

Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.60

Llantwit Major48%fair 2.08 · @1.67

3.10Expected goals

1.51Afan Lido xG

1.59Llantwit Major xG

63%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

2–18%

0–17%

1–07%

2–26%

From our goals model: Afan Lido 1.5 – 1.6 Llantwit Major expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Afan Lido	Llantwit Major
Attack vs FAW Championship average	-2%	-16%
Goals conceded vs average	+1%	+7%
Our expected goals here	1.89	1.41

Afan Lido

Llantwit Major

Attack vs FAW Championship average

-2%

-16%

Goals conceded vs average

+1%

+7%

Our expected goals here

1.89

1.41

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Llantwit Major to win ✗	48%	2.08	1.67
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.58	1.62
Draw no bet	Llantwit Major (draw no bet) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Asian handicap	Afan Lido +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.23	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.67	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	62%	1.60	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	80%	1.25	–
First team to score	Llantwit Major to score first ✓	49%	2.04	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	39%	2.57	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Llantwit Major / FT Llantwit Major ✗	24%	4.22	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.62	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Llantwit Major to win ✗

48%

2.08

1.67

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

77%

1.29

1.25

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

63%

1.58

1.62

Draw no bet

Llantwit Major (draw no bet) ✗

62%

1.61

–

Asian handicap

Afan Lido +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓

60%

1.66

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

82%

1.23

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

60%

1.67

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

62%

1.60

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✗

80%

1.25

–

First team to score

Llantwit Major to score first ✓

49%

2.04

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

39%

2.57

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Llantwit Major / FT Llantwit Major ✗

24%

4.22

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

11.62

–

Recent results

Head to head

FAW Championship table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pontypridd Town	13	8	3	2	+13	27
2	Aberystwyth Town	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Swansea University	11	7	3	1	+19	24
4	Caerau (Ely)	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Baglan Dragons	13	6	2	5	0	20
6	Ynyshir Albions	11	5	4	2	+7	19
7	Afan Lido	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	Trethomas Bluebirds	13	4	5	4	+3	17
9	Treowen Stars	12	5	2	5	-1	17
10	Carmarthen Town	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Pontardawe Town	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Caerphilly Athletic	13	4	2	7	-7	14
13	Newport City	11	3	4	4	+4	13
14	Cardiff Draconians	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Llantwit Major	12	3	3	6	-12	12
16	llanelli AFC	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Team

Pts

+13

+18

+19

-2

-1

-6

-1

-7

-5

-12

-31

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?

On our numbers Afan Lido have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Llantwit Major 48%.

How many goals will there be in Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?

Our predicted score is Afan Lido 1–1 Llantwit Major, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major?

Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Princess Margaret Way.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

13 Mar	vs Cambrian & Clydach	0–4	L
1 Mar	vs Ammanford AFC	3–1	W
20 Feb	vs Trethomas Bluebirds	1–0	W
13 Feb	vs Newport City	0–1	L

10 Mar	@ Cwmbran Celtic	3–1	W
6 Mar	@ Pontypridd Town	4–0	W
3 Mar	vs Treowen Stars	3–2	W
24 Feb	@ Ynyshir Albions	3–2	W
20 Feb	@ Newport City	1–2	L

Afan Lido v Llantwit Major: numbers & prediction

Afan Lido

Llantwit Major

Both teams to score

Picks by market

Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Afan Lido – last 4

Llantwit Major – last 5

Head to head

FAW Championship table

More FAW Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions