Newtown AFC 60%Draw 22%Buckley Town 18%Expected goals 2.13 – 1.10
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewtown AFC to win ✗60% · @1.53
Double chanceNewtown AFC or draw ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 March the FAW Championship brings Newtown AFC against Buckley Town at The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Newtown AFC are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Buckley Town are 9th (lower half) with 15. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Newtown AFC, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Gresford Athletic, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newtown AFC 2.1 xG, Buckley Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newtown AFC 60%, draw 22%, Buckley Town 18%.
Lower-risk option: Newtown AFC or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newtown AFC 2–1 Buckley Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newtown AFC60%fair 1.67 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.00
Buckley Town18%fair 5.61 · @4.60
3.23Expected goals
2.13Newtown AFC xG
1.10Buckley Town xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Newtown AFC 2.1 – 1.1 Buckley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Newtown AFC
Buckley Town
Attack vs FAW Championship average
-6%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-44%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.89
0.96
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newtown AFC to win✗
60%
1.67
1.53
Double chance
Newtown AFC or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Draw no bet
Newtown AFC (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Newtown AFC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Newtown AFC to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Newtown AFC ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Newtown AFC – last 3
LWW
6 Mar
vs Gresford Athletic
0–5
L
27 Feb
@ Flint Mountain
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Guilsfield
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Buckley Town – last 2
LL
13 Mar
vs Denbigh Town
1–4
L
20 Feb
vs Holywell
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newtown AFC and Buckley Town.
What is the prediction for Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town?
On our numbers Newtown AFC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Buckley Town 18%.
How many goals will there be in Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town?
Our predicted score is Newtown AFC 2–1 Buckley Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town?
Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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