Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Trethomas Bluebirds welcome Pontypridd Town to CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 20 March (20:45 WAT). In the table, Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Pontypridd Town are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Current form
Trethomas Bluebirds, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Newport City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Pontypridd Town, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Cwmbran Celtic, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Pontypridd Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Trethomas Bluebirds.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trethomas Bluebirds 1.8 xG, Pontypridd Town 2.1 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trethomas Bluebirds 34%, draw 23%, Pontypridd Town 43%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trethomas Bluebirds 1–2 Pontypridd Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trethomas Bluebirds34%fair 2.93 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.25
Pontypridd Town43%fair 2.31 · @2.20
3.95Expected goals
1.85Trethomas Bluebirds xG
2.10Pontypridd Town xG
68%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Trethomas Bluebirds 1.8 – 2.1 Pontypridd Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Trethomas Bluebirds
Pontypridd Town
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+10%
+36%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+4%
Our expected goals here
2.05
2.37
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pontypridd Town to win✗
43%
2.31
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.55 ▲
Draw no bet
Pontypridd Town (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Trethomas Bluebirds +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
First team to score
Pontypridd Town to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Pontypridd Town ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.71
–
Recent results
Trethomas Bluebirds – last 5
WLLLD
9 Mar
vs Newport City
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Carmarthen Town
4–5
L
1 Mar
@ Cambrian & Clydach
2–4
L
20 Feb
@ Afan Lido
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Ammanford AFC
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Pontypridd Town – last 3
WLW
17 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
5–2
W
6 Mar
vs Llantwit Major
0–4
L
21 Feb
vs Baglan Dragons
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trethomas Bluebirds and Pontypridd Town.
What is the prediction for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
On our numbers Trethomas Bluebirds have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pontypridd Town 43%.
How many goals will there be in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
Our predicted score is Trethomas Bluebirds 1–2 Pontypridd Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town?
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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