Denbigh Town 63%Draw 19%Penrhyncoch 19%Expected goals 2.63 – 1.14
63%
Betarazi pick
Denbigh Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultDenbigh Town to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01
Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the FAW Championship brings Denbigh Town against Penrhyncoch at Central Park. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Denbigh Town are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Penrhyncoch are 16th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Denbigh Town, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Holyhead Hotspur, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Denbigh Town 2.6 xG, Penrhyncoch 1.1 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Denbigh Town 63%, draw 19%, Penrhyncoch 19%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Denbigh Town to win (63%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Denbigh Town 2–1 Penrhyncoch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Denbigh Town63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @3.60
Penrhyncoch19%fair 5.38 · @3.10
3.77Expected goals
2.63Denbigh Town xG
1.14Penrhyncoch xG
66%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Denbigh Town 2.6 – 1.1 Penrhyncoch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Denbigh Town
Penrhyncoch
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+10%
-53%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
+52%
Our expected goals here
3.02
0.93
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Denbigh Town to win✓
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Draw no bet
Denbigh Town (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Denbigh Town -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
First team to score
Denbigh Town to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Denbigh Town ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Denbigh Town / FT Denbigh Town✓
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
Denbigh Town – last 6
DLWWLL
31 Mar
vs Holyhead Hotspur
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Rhyl
0–3
L
20 Mar
vs Airbus UK
3–2
W
13 Mar
@ Buckley Town
4–1
W
6 Mar
vs Brickfield Rangers
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Holywell
1–5
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Penrhyncoch
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Denbigh Town and Penrhyncoch.
What is the prediction for Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Our pick is Denbigh Town to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?
On our numbers Denbigh Town have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Penrhyncoch 19%.
How many goals will there be in Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Our predicted score is Denbigh Town 2–1 Penrhyncoch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Central Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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