Ammanford AFC v Newport City Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAmmanford AFC to win ✓56% · @1.44

Double chanceAmmanford AFC or draw ✓79% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Ammanford AFC vs Newport City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ammanford AFC welcome Newport City to Ammanford Recreation Ground for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 3 April (19:30 WAT).

Current form

Ammanford AFC, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cambrian & Clydach, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Newport City, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Treowen Stars, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ammanford AFC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Newport City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ammanford AFC 1.8 xG, Newport City 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ammanford AFC 56%, draw 23%, Newport City 21%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ammanford AFC 1–1 Newport City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ammanford AFC56%fair 1.79 · @1.44

Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.80

Newport City21%fair 4.83 · @5.00

2.97Expected goals

1.81Ammanford AFC xG

1.16Newport City xG

60%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–110%

1–09%

2–08%

1–26%

0–16%

From our goals model: Ammanford AFC 1.8 – 1.2 Newport City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Ammanford AFC	Newport City
Attack vs FAW Championship average	-2%	+1%
Goals conceded vs average	-16%	+5%
Our expected goals here	1.86	1.42

Ammanford AFC

Newport City

Attack vs FAW Championship average

-2%

+1%

Goals conceded vs average

-16%

+5%

Our expected goals here

1.86

1.42

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ammanford AFC to win ✓	56%	1.79	1.44
Double chance	Ammanford AFC or draw ✓	79%	1.26	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.67	1.67
Draw no bet	Ammanford AFC (draw no bet) ✓	73%	1.37	–
Asian handicap	Newport City +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.26	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.76	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
First team to score	Ammanford AFC to score first ✓	58%	1.73	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	39%	2.55	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ammanford AFC / FT Ammanford AFC ✓	32%	3.08	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.26	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Ammanford AFC to win ✓

56%

1.79

1.44

Double chance

Ammanford AFC or draw ✓

79%

1.26

1.12

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

60%

1.67

Draw no bet

Ammanford AFC (draw no bet) ✓

73%

1.37

–

Asian handicap

Newport City +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

62%

1.62

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

80%

1.26

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

57%

1.76

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

65%

1.53

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

82%

1.22

–

First team to score

Ammanford AFC to score first ✓

58%

1.73

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

39%

2.55

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Ammanford AFC / FT Ammanford AFC ✓

32%

3.08

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

10%

10.26

–

Recent results

Head to head

FAW Championship table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pontypridd Town	13	8	3	2	+13	27
2	Aberystwyth Town	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Swansea University	11	7	3	1	+19	24
4	Caerau (Ely)	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Baglan Dragons	13	6	2	5	0	20
6	Ynyshir Albions	11	5	4	2	+7	19
7	Afan Lido	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	Trethomas Bluebirds	13	4	5	4	+3	17
9	Treowen Stars	12	5	2	5	-1	17
10	Carmarthen Town	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Pontardawe Town	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Caerphilly Athletic	13	4	2	7	-7	14
13	Newport City	11	3	4	4	+4	13
14	Cardiff Draconians	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Llantwit Major	12	3	3	6	-12	12
16	llanelli AFC	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Team

Pts

+13

+18

+19

-2

-1

-6

-1

-7

-5

-12

-31

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ammanford AFC vs Newport City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Ammanford AFC vs Newport City?

On our numbers Ammanford AFC have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Newport City 21%.

How many goals will there be in Ammanford AFC vs Newport City?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ammanford AFC vs Newport City?

Our predicted score is Ammanford AFC 1–1 Newport City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Ammanford AFC vs Newport City?

Ammanford AFC vs Newport City (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Ammanford Recreation Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

24 Mar	vs Cambrian & Clydach	0–0	D
20 Mar	vs Baglan Dragons	1–0	W
6 Mar	vs Cardiff Draconians	2–1	W
1 Mar	@ Afan Lido	1–3	L
24 Feb	vs Aberystwyth Town	2–1	W
13 Feb	vs Trethomas Bluebirds	0–0	D

20 Mar	vs Treowen Stars	2–3	L
9 Mar	@ Trethomas Bluebirds	0–1	L
6 Mar	vs Baglan Dragons	1–2	L
1 Mar	vs Carmarthen Town	4–4	D
20 Feb	vs Llantwit Major	2–1	W
13 Feb	@ Afan Lido	1–0	W

Ammanford AFC v Newport City: numbers & prediction

Ammanford AFC

Newport City

Both teams to score

Picks by market

Ammanford AFC vs Newport City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Ammanford AFC – last 6

Newport City – last 6

Head to head

FAW Championship table

More FAW Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions