Newtown AFC 48%Draw 25%Mold Alexandra 28%Expected goals 1.56 – 1.19
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewtown AFC to win ✗48% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newtown AFC welcome Mold Alexandra to The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 3 April (12:30 WAT). In the table, Newtown AFC are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Mold Alexandra are 4th (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Newtown AFC, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Rhyl, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newtown AFC 1.6 xG, Mold Alexandra 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newtown AFC 48%, draw 25%, Mold Alexandra 28%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newtown AFC 1–1 Mold Alexandra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newtown AFC48%fair 2.10 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.50
Mold Alexandra28%fair 3.58 · @2.90
2.75Expected goals
1.56Newtown AFC xG
1.19Mold Alexandra xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Newtown AFC 1.6 – 1.2 Mold Alexandra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Newtown AFC
Mold Alexandra
Attack vs FAW Championship average
-6%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
-44%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.44
1.18
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newtown AFC to win✗
48%
2.10
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Draw no bet
Newtown AFC (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Mold Alexandra +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Newtown AFC to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Newtown AFC – last 5
WLLWW
24 Mar
vs Rhyl
6–1
W
20 Mar
vs Buckley Town
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Gresford Athletic
0–5
L
27 Feb
@ Flint Mountain
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Guilsfield
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Mold Alexandra – last 2
LL
13 Mar
@ Airbus UK
0–8
L
21 Feb
vs Rhyl
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
4.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newtown AFC and Mold Alexandra.
What is the prediction for Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra?
On our numbers Newtown AFC have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mold Alexandra 28%.
How many goals will there be in Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra?
Our predicted score is Newtown AFC 1–1 Mold Alexandra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra?
Newtown AFC vs Mold Alexandra (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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