Gresford Athletic v Caersws Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCaersws to win ✓50% · @2.38

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.36

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.39

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92

Gresford Athletic vs Caersws: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 3 April the FAW Championship brings Gresford Athletic against Caersws at The Hollingsworth Group Stadium. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Gresford Athletic are 15th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 12 matches; Caersws are 6th (upper half) with 23. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gresford Athletic, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ruthin Town, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gresford Athletic 1.4 xG, Caersws 2.4 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gresford Athletic 29%, draw 21%, Caersws 50%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Caersws to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gresford Athletic 1–2 Caersws. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gresford Athletic29%fair 3.44 · @2.45

Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40

Caersws50%fair 1.99 · @2.38

3.74Expected goals

1.35Gresford Athletic xG

2.39Caersws xG

68%Both score

72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%

1–18%

1–37%

0–27%

2–26%

0–16%

From our goals model: Gresford Athletic 1.4 – 2.4 Caersws expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Gresford Athletic	Caersws
Attack vs FAW Championship average	-41%	+12%
Goals conceded vs average	+44%	-11%
Our expected goals here	0.95	2.68

Gresford Athletic

Caersws

Attack vs FAW Championship average

-41%

+12%

Goals conceded vs average

+44%

-11%

Our expected goals here

0.95

2.68

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Caersws to win ✓	50%	1.99	2.38 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.26	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	68%	1.47	1.36
Draw no bet	Caersws (draw no bet) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Asian handicap	Caersws -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	51%	1.95	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	–
First team to score	Caersws to score first ✓	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Caersws ahead at half-time ✓	46%	2.17	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Caersws / FT Caersws ✓	39%	2.54	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.92	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Caersws to win ✓

50%

1.99

2.38 ▲

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

79%

1.26

1.25

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

68%

1.47

1.36

Draw no bet

Caersws (draw no bet) ✓

63%

1.58

–

Asian handicap

Caersws -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓

60%

1.66

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

89%

1.13

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✗

72%

1.39

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Over 3.5 goals ✗

51%

1.95

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

68%

1.47

–

First team to score

Caersws to score first ✓

62%

1.61

–

Half-time result

Caersws ahead at half-time ✓

46%

2.17

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Caersws / FT Caersws ✓

39%

2.54

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

10.92

–

Recent results

Head to head

FAW Championship table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Porthmadog	14	8	3	3	+7	27
4	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	+15	25
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	14	4	3	7	0	15
10	Holyhead Hotspur	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Llanuwchllyn	14	4	3	7	-9	15
12	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	-2	14
13	Rhyl	14	2	7	5	-3	13
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	-34	1

Team

Pts

+19

+19

+15

+10

+15

-3

-9

-2

-3

-12

-26

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gresford Athletic vs Caersws?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Gresford Athletic vs Caersws?

On our numbers Gresford Athletic have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Caersws 50%.

How many goals will there be in Gresford Athletic vs Caersws?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gresford Athletic vs Caersws?

Our predicted score is Gresford Athletic 1–2 Caersws, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Gresford Athletic vs Caersws?

Gresford Athletic vs Caersws (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at The Hollingsworth Group Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

20 Mar	@ Ruthin Town	1–2	L
6 Mar	@ Newtown AFC	5–0	W
1 Mar	vs Holyhead Hotspur	1–0	W
20 Feb	vs Flint Mountain	3–0	W
13 Feb	@ Llandudno	1–7	L

Gresford Athletic v Caersws: numbers & prediction