Alverca 32%Draw 29%Santa Clara 38%Expected goals 1.01 – 1.16
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSanta Clara to win ✗38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.87
Alverca vs Santa Clara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alverca welcome Santa Clara to FC Alverca Sports Complex for a Primeira Liga fixture on Saturday 21 February (16:30 WAT). In the table, Alverca are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Santa Clara are 4th (among the top four) with 21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alverca 1.0 xG, Santa Clara 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alverca 32%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alverca32%fair 3.09 · @2.90
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @2.95
Santa Clara38%fair 2.60 · @2.55
2.17Expected goals
1.01Alverca xG
1.16Santa Clara xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Alverca 1.0 – 1.2 Santa Clara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Clara to win✗
38%
2.60
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Santa Clara (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Alverca +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Santa Clara to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Clara / FT Santa Clara✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.87
–
Recent results
Alverca – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Tondela
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Santa Clara – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Benfica
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alverca and Santa Clara.
What is the prediction for Alverca vs Santa Clara?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Alverca vs Santa Clara?
On our numbers Alverca have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Santa Clara 38%.
How many goals will there be in Alverca vs Santa Clara?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alverca vs Santa Clara?
Our predicted score is Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Alverca vs Santa Clara?
Alverca vs Santa Clara (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at FC Alverca Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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