Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSporting CP to win66% · @1.31
Double chanceSporting CP or draw86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.12
Moreirense vs Sporting CP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting CP travel to face Moreirense on Saturday 21 February in the Primeira Liga, with Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Moreirense are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Sporting CP are 3rd (among the top four) with 24.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moreirense 0.9 xG, Sporting CP 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moreirense 14%, draw 21%, Sporting CP 66%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moreirense 0–2 Sporting CP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moreirense14%fair 7.28 · @8.75
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @5.25
Sporting CP66%fair 1.52 · @1.31
2.91Expected goals
0.88Moreirense xG
2.03Sporting CP xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Moreirense 0.9 – 2.0 Sporting CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win
66%
1.52
1.31
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Sporting CP (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Sporting CP -0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.17
First team to score
Sporting CP to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Moreirense – last 1
W
16 Feb
@ Rio Ave
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sporting CP – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Famalicao
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreirense and Sporting CP.
What is the prediction for Moreirense vs Sporting CP?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Moreirense vs Sporting CP?
On our numbers Moreirense have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting CP 66%.
How many goals will there be in Moreirense vs Sporting CP?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense vs Sporting CP?
Our predicted score is Moreirense 0–2 Sporting CP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Moreirense vs Sporting CP?
Moreirense vs Sporting CP (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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