SC Braga vs Guimaraes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Saturday 21 February: SC Braga v Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga, played at Estádio Municipal de Braga. In the table, SC Braga are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Guimaraes are 14th (lower half) with 9.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Braga 1.5 xG, Guimaraes 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Braga 55%, draw 25%, Guimaraes 20%.
Lower-risk option: SC Braga or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Braga 1–0 Guimaraes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Braga55%fair 1.81 · @1.57
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @4.10
Guimaraes20%fair 5.05 · @5.25
2.44Expected goals
1.52SC Braga xG
0.92Guimaraes xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: SC Braga 1.5 – 0.9 Guimaraes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Braga to win
55%
1.81
1.57
Double chance
SC Braga or draw
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
SC Braga (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Guimaraes +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.13
First team to score
SC Braga to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
SC Braga
No recent results on record.
Guimaraes
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Braga and Guimaraes.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win SC Braga vs Guimaraes?
On our numbers SC Braga have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guimaraes 20%.
How many goals will there be in SC Braga vs Guimaraes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Braga vs Guimaraes?
Our predicted score is SC Braga 1–0 Guimaraes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is SC Braga vs Guimaraes?
SC Braga vs Guimaraes (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Braga.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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