União de Leiria vs Feirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Sunday 17 May: União de Leiria v Feirense in the Segunda Liga, played at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa. In the table, União de Leiria are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Feirense are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
União de Leiria, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lusitânia Lourosa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Feirense, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Pacos Ferreira, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União de Leiria 1.5 xG, Feirense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União de Leiria 54%, draw 25%, Feirense 21%.
Lower-risk option: União de Leiria or draw (79%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: União de Leiria 1–0 Feirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União de Leiria54%fair 1.87 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.55
Feirense21%fair 4.77 · @4.20
2.38Expected goals
1.55União de Leiria xG
0.83Feirense xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: União de Leiria 1.5 – 0.8 Feirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
União de Leiria
Feirense
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
+21%
-47%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.31
0.68
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✗
54%
1.87
1.75
Double chance
União de Leiria or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Draw no bet
União de Leiria (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Feirense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
União de Leiria to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✗
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
União de Leiria – last 6
DWWLWD
5 Apr
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Pacos Ferreira
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Chaves
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Maritimo
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Leixoes
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs FC Porto B
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Feirense – last 6
WDLWWL
3 May
@ Pacos Ferreira
2–1
W
28 Apr
vs Torreense
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Academico Viseu
0–3
L
12 Apr
vs Vizela
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Farense
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sporting CP B
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União de Leiria and Feirense.
What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs Feirense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win União de Leiria vs Feirense?
On our numbers União de Leiria have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Feirense 21%.
How many goals will there be in União de Leiria vs Feirense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União de Leiria vs Feirense?
Our predicted score is União de Leiria 1–0 Feirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is União de Leiria vs Feirense?
União de Leiria vs Feirense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oliveirense1
Pacos Ferreira2