Portimonense vs Farense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Portimonense welcome Farense to Estádio Municipal de Portimão for a Segunda Liga fixture on Sunday 17 May (20:30 WAT). In the table, Portimonense are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Farense are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Portimonense, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Chaves, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Farense, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vizela, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portimonense 1.2 xG, Farense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portimonense 35%, draw 26%, Farense 39%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portimonense 1–1 Farense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portimonense35%fair 2.88 · @2.58
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.35
Farense39%fair 2.56 · @2.46
2.44Expected goals
1.16Portimonense xG
1.28Farense xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Portimonense 1.2 – 1.3 Farense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Portimonense
Farense
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
-25%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.08
1.23
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Farense to win✗
39%
2.56
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Draw no bet
Farense (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Portimonense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Farense to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Farense / FT Farense✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.10
–
Recent results
Portimonense – last 6
WLWWLL
3 May
vs Chaves
3–2
W
25 Apr
@ Leixoes
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
3–2
W
3 Apr
@ Oliveirense
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Torreense
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Academico Viseu
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Farense – last 5
WLDWL
19 Apr
@ Vizela
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Feirense
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Chaves
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portimonense and Farense.
What is the prediction for Portimonense vs Farense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Portimonense vs Farense?
On our numbers Portimonense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Farense 39%.
How many goals will there be in Portimonense vs Farense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portimonense vs Farense?
Our predicted score is Portimonense 1–1 Farense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portimonense vs Farense?
Portimonense vs Farense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Portimão.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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