Maidenhead v Ebbsfleet United Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✓42% · @2.88

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83

Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 17 March: Maidenhead v Ebbsfleet United in the National League South, played at York Road. In the table, Maidenhead are 18th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Ebbsfleet United are 1st (leading the league) with 35. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Maidenhead, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Worthing, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ebbsfleet United, last 4: WDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Eastbourne Borough, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Maidenhead, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Ebbsfleet United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maidenhead 1.1 xG, Ebbsfleet United 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Maidenhead 34%, draw 24%, Ebbsfleet United 42%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Ebbsfleet United to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maidenhead 1–1 Ebbsfleet United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maidenhead34%fair 2.93 · @2.20

Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.35

Ebbsfleet United42%fair 2.40 · @2.88

2.60Expected goals

1.09Maidenhead xG

1.51Ebbsfleet United xG

56%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–111%

1–29%

0–28%

1–08%

0–07%

From our goals model: Maidenhead 1.1 – 1.5 Ebbsfleet United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ebbsfleet United to win ✓	42%	2.40	2.88 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.77	1.70
Draw no bet	Ebbsfleet United (draw no bet) ✓	55%	1.82	–
Asian handicap	Maidenhead +1 (Asian handicap)	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.93	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	73%	1.37	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	88%	1.14	–
First team to score	Ebbsfleet United to score first ✓	54%	1.86	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United ✓	28%	3.58	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.83	–

Maidenhead – last 4

DWWW

10 Mar	@ Worthing	0–0	D
3 Mar	vs AFC Totton	2–0	W
24 Feb	vs Salisbury	2–1	W
21 Feb	vs Dagenham & Redbridge	2–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

25%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

Ebbsfleet United – last 4

WDLD

10 Mar	@ Eastbourne Borough	3–1	W
24 Feb	@ Horsham	1–1	D
21 Feb	@ Chesham United	1–4	L
17 Feb	@ Bath City	2–2	D

1.8Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?

On our numbers Maidenhead have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ebbsfleet United 42%.

How many goals will there be in Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?

Our predicted score is Maidenhead 1–1 Ebbsfleet United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?

Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at York Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Maidenhead v Ebbsfleet United: numbers & prediction