Chesham United v AFC Totton Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultChesham United to win ✗54% · @1.73

Double chanceChesham United or draw ✗77% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29

Chesham United vs AFC Totton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AFC Totton travel to face Chesham United on Tuesday 17 March in the National League South, with The Meadow the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Chesham United are 21st, lower half, on 11 points after 15 matches; AFC Totton are 16th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Chesham United, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Worthing, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

AFC Totton, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Weston-super-Mare, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Momentum favours Chesham United, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for AFC Totton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chesham United 1.8 xG, AFC Totton 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Chesham United 54%, draw 23%, AFC Totton 23%.
Lower-risk option: Chesham United or draw (77%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesham United 1–1 AFC Totton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chesham United54%fair 1.85 · @1.73

Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.55

AFC Totton23%fair 4.37 · @4.20

2.96Expected goals

1.79Chesham United xG

1.17AFC Totton xG

62%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–110%

1–09%

2–08%

1–26%

0–16%

From our goals model: Chesham United 1.8 – 1.2 AFC Totton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Chesham United to win ✗	54%	1.85	1.73
Double chance	Chesham United or draw ✗	77%	1.30	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.61	1.70 ▲
Draw no bet	Chesham United (draw no bet) ✗	70%	1.42	–
Asian handicap	AFC Totton +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.83	1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
First team to score	Chesham United to score first	57%	1.74	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	39%	2.54	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Chesham United / FT Chesham United ✗	32%	3.13	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.29	–

Chesham United – last 4

LLWW

3 Mar	@ Worthing	0–2	L
24 Feb	vs Dagenham & Redbridge	0–1	L
21 Feb	vs Ebbsfleet United	4–1	W
17 Feb	vs Eastbourne Borough	1–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

25%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

AFC Totton – last 5

LLDWD

10 Mar	@ Weston-super-Mare	0–1	L
3 Mar	@ Maidenhead	0–2	L
24 Feb	vs Slough Town	1–1	D
21 Feb	vs AFC Hornchurch	1–0	W
17 Feb	vs Hampton & Richmond	1–1	D

0.6Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

40%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chesham United vs AFC Totton?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Chesham United vs AFC Totton?

On our numbers Chesham United have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AFC Totton 23%.

How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs AFC Totton?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs AFC Totton?

Our predicted score is Chesham United 1–1 AFC Totton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Chesham United vs AFC Totton?

Chesham United vs AFC Totton (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Meadow.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Chesham United v AFC Totton: numbers & prediction