Weston-super-Mare v Tonbridge Angels Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultWeston-super-Mare to win ✗48% · @1.80

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28

Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tonbridge Angels travel to face Weston-super-Mare on Tuesday 17 March in the National League South, with The Optima Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Weston-super-Mare are 14th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Tonbridge Angels are 10th (upper half) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Weston-super-Mare, last 4: WLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AFC Totton, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Tonbridge Angels, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dover, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tonbridge Angels, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Weston-super-Mare.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Weston-super-Mare 1.5 xG, Tonbridge Angels 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Weston-super-Mare 48%, draw 25%, Tonbridge Angels 27%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Weston-super-Mare 1–1 Tonbridge Angels. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Weston-super-Mare48%fair 2.09 · @1.80

Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.45

Tonbridge Angels27%fair 3.65 · @3.95

2.72Expected goals

1.46Weston-super-Mare xG

1.25Tonbridge Angels xG

57%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–18%

1–28%

2–07%

From our goals model: Weston-super-Mare 1.5 – 1.3 Tonbridge Angels expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Weston-super-Mare to win ✗	48%	2.09	1.80
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.76	1.67
Draw no bet	Weston-super-Mare (draw no bet) ✗	64%	1.57	–
Asian handicap	Tonbridge Angels +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	75%	1.34	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.95	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	Weston-super-Mare to score first ✗	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.38	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Weston-super-Mare / FT Weston-super-Mare ✗	25%	4.04	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.28	–

Weston-super-Mare – last 4

WLDD

10 Mar	vs AFC Totton	1–0	W
3 Mar	@ Maidstone Utd	1–2	L
24 Feb	@ Bath City	0–0	D
21 Feb	@ Dover	1–1	D

0.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

Tonbridge Angels – last 3

LWW

10 Mar	@ Dover	0–2	L
24 Feb	vs Hampton & Richmond	2–0	W
21 Feb	vs Chippenham Town	3–2	W

1.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?

On our numbers Weston-super-Mare have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tonbridge Angels 27%.

How many goals will there be in Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?

Our predicted score is Weston-super-Mare 1–1 Tonbridge Angels, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?

Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Optima Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Weston-super-Mare v Tonbridge Angels: numbers & prediction