Horsham vs Bath City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 March the National League South brings Horsham against Bath City at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.
Current form
Horsham, last 4: LDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to AFC Hornchurch, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Bath City, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Farnborough, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Horsham 1.5 xG, Bath City 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Horsham 51%, draw 26%, Bath City 24%.
Lower-risk option: Horsham or draw (76%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Horsham 1–0 Bath City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Horsham51%fair 1.98 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.35
Bath City24%fair 4.21 · @3.75
2.36Expected goals
1.45Horsham xG
0.91Bath City xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Horsham 1.5 – 0.9 Bath City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Horsham to win✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Double chance
Horsham or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Horsham (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Bath City +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Horsham to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Horsham / FT Horsham✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.05
–
Recent results
Horsham – last 4
LDWL
10 Mar
vs AFC Hornchurch
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Ebbsfleet United
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Hemel Hempstead Town
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Enfield Town
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Bath City – last 5
LDDLD
10 Mar
vs Farnborough
0–1
L
3 Mar
vs Slough Town
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Weston-super-Mare
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Hampton & Richmond
0–4
L
17 Feb
vs Ebbsfleet United
2–2
D
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Horsham and Bath City.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Horsham vs Bath City?
On our numbers Horsham have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bath City 24%.
How many goals will there be in Horsham vs Bath City?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Horsham vs Bath City?
Our predicted score is Horsham 1–0 Bath City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Horsham vs Bath City?
Horsham vs Bath City (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Enfield Town2