Chelmsford City vs Salisbury: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelmsford City welcome Salisbury to Melbourne Stadium for a National League South fixture on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT). In the table, Chelmsford City are 8th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Salisbury are 3rd (among the top four) with 31.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelmsford City 1.3 xG, Salisbury 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelmsford City 49%, draw 24%, Salisbury 27%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelmsford City 1–1 Salisbury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelmsford City49%fair 2.05 · @1.64
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.65
Salisbury27%fair 3.66 · @4.75
2.59Expected goals
1.34Chelmsford City xG
1.25Salisbury xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chelmsford City 1.3 – 1.3 Salisbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelmsford City to win✗
49%
2.05
1.64
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Chelmsford City (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Salisbury +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Chelmsford City to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Chelmsford City – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Maidstone Utd
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Salisbury – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Chippenham Town
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelmsford City and Salisbury.
What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?
On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Salisbury 27%.
How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?
Our predicted score is Chelmsford City 1–1 Salisbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?
Chelmsford City vs Salisbury (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Melbourne Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.