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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chelmsford City v Salisbury: numbers & prediction

National League South · England · Melbourne Stadium
Chelmsford City 49%Draw 24%Salisbury 27% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.25
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultChelmsford City to win ✗49% · @1.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87

Chelmsford City vs Salisbury: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chelmsford City welcome Salisbury to Melbourne Stadium for a National League South fixture on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT). In the table, Chelmsford City are 8th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Salisbury are 3rd (among the top four) with 31.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chelmsford City 1.3 xG, Salisbury 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chelmsford City 49%, draw 24%, Salisbury 27%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelmsford City 1–1 Salisbury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chelmsford City49%fair 2.05 · @1.64
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.65
Salisbury27%fair 3.66 · @4.75
2.59Expected goals
1.34Chelmsford City xG
1.25Salisbury xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Chelmsford City 1.3 – 1.3 Salisbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelmsford City to win ✗49%2.051.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.73
Draw no betChelmsford City (draw no bet)64%1.56–
Asian handicapSalisbury +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreChelmsford City to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City ✗23%4.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.87–

Recent results

Chelmsford City – last 1

D
16 Febvs Maidstone Utd1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Salisbury – last 1

W
17 Febvs Chippenham Town1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chelmsford City and Salisbury.

Chelmsford City vs Salisbury head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

More National League South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?

On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Salisbury 27%.

How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?

Our predicted score is Chelmsford City 1–1 Salisbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?

Chelmsford City vs Salisbury (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Melbourne Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.