Value bet: Dover to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWeston-super-Mare to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.79
Dover vs Weston-super-Mare: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the National League South brings Dover against Weston-super-Mare at Crabble Athletic Ground. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Dover are 13th, lower half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Weston-super-Mare are 14th (lower half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dover 1.4 xG, Weston-super-Mare 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dover 36%, draw 25%, Weston-super-Mare 39%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Dover to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dover 1–1 Weston-super-Mare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dover36%fair 2.76 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
Weston-super-Mare39%fair 2.58 · @2.05
2.69Expected goals
1.41Dover xG
1.28Weston-super-Mare xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Dover 1.4 – 1.3 Weston-super-Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Weston-super-Mare to win✗
39%
2.58
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Draw no bet
Weston-super-Mare (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Weston-super-Mare +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Dover to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dover / FT Dover✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.79
–
Recent results
Dover
No recent results on record.
Weston-super-Mare
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dover and Weston-super-Mare.
What is the prediction for Dover vs Weston-super-Mare?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dover vs Weston-super-Mare?
On our numbers Dover have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Weston-super-Mare 39%.
How many goals will there be in Dover vs Weston-super-Mare?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dover vs Weston-super-Mare?
Our predicted score is Dover 1–1 Weston-super-Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dover vs Weston-super-Mare?
Dover vs Weston-super-Mare (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Crabble Athletic Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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