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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chesham United v Ebbsfleet United: numbers & prediction

National League South · England · The Meadow

Chesham United

W
4–1
FT

Ebbsfleet United

D
Chesham United 27%Draw 22%Ebbsfleet United 51% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.92
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Ebbsfleet United to win @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✗51% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Chesham United v Ebbsfleet United in the National League South, played at The Meadow. In the table, Chesham United are 21st, lower half, on 11 points after 15 matches; Ebbsfleet United are 1st (leading the league) with 35. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chesham United 1.1 xG, Ebbsfleet United 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chesham United 27%, draw 22%, Ebbsfleet United 51%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Ebbsfleet United to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesham United 1–1 Ebbsfleet United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chesham United27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.25
Ebbsfleet United51%fair 1.96 · @2.15
3.05Expected goals
1.14Chesham United xG
1.92Ebbsfleet United xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Chesham United 1.1 – 1.9 Ebbsfleet United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEbbsfleet United to win ✗51%1.962.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.70
Draw no betEbbsfleet United (draw no bet) ✗66%1.52–
Asian handicapChesham United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.471.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
First team to scoreEbbsfleet United to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultEbbsfleet United ahead at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United ✗35%2.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

Chesham United – last 1

W
17 Febvs Eastbourne Borough1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Ebbsfleet United – last 1

D
17 Feb@ Bath City2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and Ebbsfleet United.

Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

More National League South predictions

League hub
FT AFC Totton1 AFC Hornchurch0 132%2.80X25%3.35243%2.25 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Bath City0 Hampton & Richmond4 145%2.10X26%3.20229%3.20 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✗
FT Chelmsford City2 Salisbury2 149%1.64X24%3.65227%4.75 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Dover1 Weston-super-Mare1 136%3.10X25%3.40239%2.05 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Eastbourne Borough4 Torquay2 126%4.40X25%3.65249%1.67 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Farnborough0 Enfield Town5 140%1.95X20%3.50240%3.25 1.4–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Horsham2 Hemel Hempstead Town0 144%2.50X26%3.20230%2.62 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Maidenhead2 Dagenham & Redbridge0 146%1.85X29%3.35225%3.75 1.3–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?

On our numbers Chesham United have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ebbsfleet United 51%.

How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Our predicted score is Chesham United 1–1 Ebbsfleet United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Meadow.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.