Dorking Wanderers v Chelmsford City Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDorking Wanderers to win ✗39% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77

Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 10 March: Dorking Wanderers v Chelmsford City in the National League South, played at Meadowbank. In the table, Dorking Wanderers are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 15 matches; Chelmsford City are 8th (upper half) with 25. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Dorking Wanderers, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Eastbourne Borough, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Chelmsford City, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hemel Hempstead Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dorking Wanderers, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Chelmsford City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dorking Wanderers 1.5 xG, Chelmsford City 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Dorking Wanderers 39%, draw 24%, Chelmsford City 37%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dorking Wanderers 1–1 Chelmsford City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dorking Wanderers39%fair 2.56 · @2.40

Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40

Chelmsford City37%fair 2.71 · @2.55

3.00Expected goals

1.51Dorking Wanderers xG

1.48Chelmsford City xG

62%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–18%

1–28%

1–08%

0–17%

2–26%

From our goals model: Dorking Wanderers 1.5 – 1.5 Chelmsford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Dorking Wanderers to win ✗	39%	2.56	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.61	1.60
Draw no bet	Dorking Wanderers (draw no bet)	51%	1.95	–
Asian handicap	Chelmsford City +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.82	1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.23	–
First team to score	Dorking Wanderers to score first	48%	2.08	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.52	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Dorking Wanderers / FT Dorking Wanderers ✗	23%	4.40	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.77	–

Dorking Wanderers – last 3

WDW

24 Feb	@ Eastbourne Borough	2–1	W
21 Feb	@ Maidstone Utd	1–1	D
17 Feb	vs AFC Hornchurch	1–0	W

1.3Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Chelmsford City – last 3

WDD

23 Feb	vs Hemel Hempstead Town	1–0	W
21 Feb	vs Salisbury	2–2	D
16 Feb	vs Maidstone Utd	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City?

On our numbers Dorking Wanderers have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chelmsford City 37%.

How many goals will there be in Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City?

Our predicted score is Dorking Wanderers 1–1 Chelmsford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City?

Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Meadowbank.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Dorking Wanderers v Chelmsford City: numbers & prediction