Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 10 March: Horsham v AFC Hornchurch in the National League South, played at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium.
Current form
Horsham, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ebbsfleet United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
AFC Hornchurch, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Salisbury, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Horsham, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for AFC Hornchurch.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Horsham 1.4 xG, AFC Hornchurch 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Horsham 38%, draw 26%, AFC Hornchurch 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Horsham 1–1 AFC Hornchurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Horsham38%fair 2.63 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
AFC Hornchurch36%fair 2.75 · @2.45
2.67Expected goals
1.39Horsham xG
1.28AFC Hornchurch xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Horsham 1.4 – 1.3 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Horsham to win✗
38%
2.63
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.60
Draw no bet
Horsham (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
AFC Hornchurch +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Horsham to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Horsham / FT Horsham✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Horsham – last 3
DWL
24 Feb
vs Ebbsfleet United
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Hemel Hempstead Town
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Enfield Town
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AFC Hornchurch – last 4
WLLL
3 Mar
vs Salisbury
1–0
W
24 Feb
@ Dover
1–4
L
21 Feb
@ AFC Totton
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Dorking Wanderers
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Horsham and AFC Hornchurch.
What is the prediction for Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch?
On our numbers Horsham have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AFC Hornchurch 36%.
How many goals will there be in Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our predicted score is Horsham 1–1 AFC Hornchurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch?
Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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