Torquay v Salisbury Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTorquay to win ✓49% · @1.53

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.14

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.44

Torquay vs Salisbury: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Salisbury travel to face Torquay on Tuesday 10 March in the National League South, with Plainmoor the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Torquay are 11th, upper half, on 23 points after 15 matches; Salisbury are 3rd (among the top four) with 31.

Current form

Torquay, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Farnborough, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Salisbury, last 4: LLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AFC Hornchurch, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Salisbury, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Torquay.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Torquay 1.5 xG, Salisbury 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Torquay 49%, draw 24%, Salisbury 27%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torquay 1–1 Salisbury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Torquay49%fair 2.04 · @1.53

Draw24%fair 4.17 · @4.20

Salisbury27%fair 3.71 · @5.00

2.87Expected goals

1.50Torquay xG

1.37Salisbury xG

60%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

2–19%

1–09%

1–28%

0–18%

2–06%

From our goals model: Torquay 1.5 – 1.4 Salisbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Torquay to win ✓	49%	2.04	1.53
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.14
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.66	1.55
Draw no bet	Torquay (draw no bet) ✓	65%	1.55	–
Asian handicap	Salisbury +1 (Asian handicap)	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.70	1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	63%	1.59	1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	1.25
First team to score	Torquay to score first	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.46	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Torquay / FT Torquay ✗	24%	4.19	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	11.44	–

Torquay – last 3

DLL

3 Mar	vs Farnborough	2–2	D
24 Feb	@ Worthing	1–3	L
21 Feb	@ Eastbourne Borough	2–4	L

1.7Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Salisbury – last 4

LLDW

3 Mar	@ AFC Hornchurch	0–1	L
24 Feb	@ Maidenhead	1–2	L
21 Feb	@ Chelmsford City	2–2	D
17 Feb	vs Chippenham Town	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torquay vs Salisbury?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Torquay vs Salisbury?

On our numbers Torquay have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Salisbury 27%.

How many goals will there be in Torquay vs Salisbury?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Torquay vs Salisbury?

Our predicted score is Torquay 1–1 Salisbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Torquay vs Salisbury?

Torquay vs Salisbury (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Plainmoor.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Torquay v Salisbury: numbers & prediction