Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days Jackpots News Telegram18+

BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dover v Tonbridge Angels: numbers & prediction

National League South · England · Crabble Athletic Ground

Tonbridge Angels

Dover 39%Draw 25%Tonbridge Angels 37% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.40

78%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating

1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultDover to win ✓39% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81

Dover vs Tonbridge Angels: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 10 March the National League South brings Dover against Tonbridge Angels at Crabble Athletic Ground. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Dover are 13th, lower half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Tonbridge Angels are 10th (upper half) with 24. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dover 1.4 xG, Tonbridge Angels 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Dover 39%, draw 25%, Tonbridge Angels 37%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dover 1–1 Tonbridge Angels. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dover39%fair 2.59 · @2.25

Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.50

Tonbridge Angels37%fair 2.72 · @2.70

2.83Expected goals

1.44Dover xG

1.40Tonbridge Angels xG

60%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

2–18%

1–08%

1–28%

0–18%

2–06%

From our goals model: Dover 1.4 – 1.4 Tonbridge Angels expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Dover to win ✓	39%	2.59	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.66	1.53
Draw no bet	Dover (draw no bet) ✓	51%	1.95	–
Asian handicap	Tonbridge Angels +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.81	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.50	1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	–
First team to score	Dover to score first ✓	48%	2.10	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.44	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Dover / FT Dover ✓	22%	4.47	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.81	–

Recent results

Dover – last 2

24 Feb	vs AFC Hornchurch	4–1	W
21 Feb	vs Weston-super-Mare	1–1	D

2.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Tonbridge Angels – last 2

24 Feb	vs Hampton & Richmond	2–0	W
21 Feb	vs Chippenham Town	3–2	W

2.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dover and Tonbridge Angels.

Dover vs Tonbridge Angels head-to-head page →

National League South table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

More National League South predictions

League hub

Bath City0

Farnborough1 146%2.05X25%3.45229%3.10 1.6–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✗

Dorking Wanderers1

Chelmsford City1 139%2.40X24%3.40237%2.55 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓

Eastbourne Borough1

Ebbsfleet United3 132%3.10X24%3.45244%2.05 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓

Hemel Hempstead Town3

Chippenham Town2 150%1.77X27%3.45223%4.10 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✗

Horsham0

AFC Hornchurch2 138%2.55X26%3.30236%2.45 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓

Maidstone Utd2

Dagenham & Redbridge1 153%1.91X25%3.30222%3.60 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Slough Town1

Hampton & Richmond3 140%2.15X24%3.45236%2.95 1.6–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓

Torquay2

Salisbury1 149%1.53X24%4.20227%5.00 1.5–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.60 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?

On our numbers Dover have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tonbridge Angels 37%.

How many goals will there be in Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?

Our predicted score is Dover 1–1 Tonbridge Angels, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?

Dover vs Tonbridge Angels (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Crabble Athletic Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.