Alfreton Town v Worksop Town Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultWorksop Town to win ✗41% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.35

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.11

Alfreton Town vs Worksop Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Friday 3 April: Alfreton Town v Worksop Town in the National League North, played at The Impact Arena.

Current form

Alfreton Town, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chorley, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Worksop Town, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bedford Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alfreton Town 1.3 xG, Worksop Town 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Alfreton Town 33%, draw 26%, Worksop Town 41%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alfreton Town 1–1 Worksop Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alfreton Town33%fair 3.07 · @2.80

Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.10

Worksop Town41%fair 2.42 · @2.40

2.82Expected goals

1.29Alfreton Town xG

1.53Worksop Town xG

62%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–08%

2–18%

0–27%

From our goals model: Alfreton Town 1.3 – 1.5 Worksop Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Worksop Town to win ✗	41%	2.42	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	74%	1.35	1.35
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.62	1.62
Draw no bet	Worksop Town (draw no bet)	56%	1.79	–
Asian handicap	Alfreton Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.87	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.18	–
First team to score	Worksop Town to score first ✓	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.44	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Worksop Town / FT Worksop Town ✗	25%	3.92	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.11	–

Alfreton Town – last 6

WLWLDL

31 Mar	vs Chorley	1–0	W
24 Mar	vs Macclesfield	0–2	L
19 Mar	vs Hereford	2–1	W
17 Mar	@ Southport	1–2	L
10 Mar	vs Radcliffe	1–1	D
3 Mar	@ Kidderminster Harriers	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Worksop Town – last 3

WLL

10 Mar	@ Bedford Town	2–0	W
24 Feb	@ South Shields	1–3	L
21 Feb	@ Curzon Ashton	1–3	L

1.3Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alfreton Town vs Worksop Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Alfreton Town vs Worksop Town?

On our numbers Alfreton Town have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Worksop Town 41%.

How many goals will there be in Alfreton Town vs Worksop Town?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alfreton Town vs Worksop Town?

Our predicted score is Alfreton Town 1–1 Worksop Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Alfreton Town vs Worksop Town?

Alfreton Town vs Worksop Town (National League North) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Impact Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Alfreton Town v Worksop Town: numbers & prediction

Alfreton Town