Chorley v AFC Fylde Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAFC Fylde to win ✗53% · @1.83

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.53

Chorley vs AFC Fylde: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AFC Fylde travel to face Chorley on Friday 3 April in the National League North, with Victory Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Chorley, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alfreton Town, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

AFC Fylde, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Marine, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Momentum favours AFC Fylde, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Chorley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chorley 1.3 xG, AFC Fylde 1.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Chorley 26%, draw 21%, AFC Fylde 53%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chorley 1–1 AFC Fylde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chorley26%fair 3.89 · @3.60

Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.70

AFC Fylde53%fair 1.88 · @1.83

3.20Expected goals

1.32Chorley xG

1.88AFC Fylde xG

63%Both score

62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–29%

0–18%

0–27%

2–17%

2–26%

From our goals model: Chorley 1.3 – 1.9 AFC Fylde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	AFC Fylde to win ✗	53%	1.88	1.83
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	63%	1.58	1.65
Draw no bet	AFC Fylde (draw no bet) ✗	67%	1.48	–
Asian handicap	Chorley +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	83%	1.21	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
First team to score	AFC Fylde to score first ✗	56%	1.78	–
Half-time result	AFC Fylde ahead at half-time ✗	38%	2.61	–
Half-time / full-time	HT AFC Fylde / FT AFC Fylde ✗	31%	3.21	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.53	–

Chorley – last 6

LWDLLD

31 Mar	@ Alfreton Town	0–1	L
17 Mar	vs Kidderminster Harriers	2–1	W
10 Mar	vs South Shields	1–1	D
24 Feb	@ Spennymoor Town	0–1	L
21 Feb	@ Bedford Town	0–2	L
17 Feb	@ AFC Telford United	2–2	D

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

AFC Fylde – last 6

WWWLWW

31 Mar	vs Marine	2–0	W
17 Mar	@ Hereford	4–1	W
10 Mar	vs AFC Telford United	2–1	W
3 Mar	@ South Shields	1–2	L
24 Feb	@ Macclesfield	4–1	W
21 Feb	@ Buxton	3–0	W

2.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chorley vs AFC Fylde?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Chorley vs AFC Fylde?

On our numbers Chorley have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AFC Fylde 53%.

How many goals will there be in Chorley vs AFC Fylde?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chorley vs AFC Fylde?

Our predicted score is Chorley 1–1 AFC Fylde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Chorley vs AFC Fylde?

Chorley vs AFC Fylde (National League North) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Chorley v AFC Fylde: numbers & prediction