Chester v AFC Telford United Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultChester to win ✓44% · @2.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.51

Chester vs AFC Telford United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chester welcome AFC Telford United to Deva Stadium for a National League North fixture on Friday 3 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, Chester are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 15 matches; AFC Telford United are 11th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Chester, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Merthyr Town, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

AFC Telford United, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Macclesfield, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Chester, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for AFC Telford United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chester 1.6 xG, AFC Telford United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Chester 44%, draw 26%, AFC Telford United 30%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Chester to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chester 1–1 AFC Telford United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chester44%fair 2.25 · @2.45

Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.30

AFC Telford United30%fair 3.34 · @2.62

2.70Expected goals

1.62Chester xG

1.08AFC Telford United xG

61%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–011%

2–110%

2–09%

0–17%

0–07%

From our goals model: Chester 1.6 – 1.1 AFC Telford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Chester to win ✓	44%	2.25	2.45 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.34	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.64	1.50
Draw no bet	Chester (draw no bet) ✓	60%	1.67	–
Asian handicap	AFC Telford United +1 (Asian handicap)	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.98	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	Chester to score first	56%	1.79	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.39	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Chester / FT Chester ✗	30%	3.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	10%	10.51	–

Chester – last 3

WLW

10 Mar	@ Merthyr Town	2–1	W
24 Feb	@ Hereford	2–5	L
21 Feb	@ Leamington	2–0	W

2.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

AFC Telford United – last 6

WLLDDD

17 Mar	vs Macclesfield	3–0	W
10 Mar	@ AFC Fylde	1–2	L
3 Mar	vs Leamington	1–2	L
24 Feb	@ Oxford City	0–0	D
21 Feb	@ South Shields	2–2	D
17 Feb	vs Chorley	2–2	D

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chester vs AFC Telford United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Chester vs AFC Telford United?

On our numbers Chester have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AFC Telford United 30%.

How many goals will there be in Chester vs AFC Telford United?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chester vs AFC Telford United?

Our predicted score is Chester 1–1 AFC Telford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Chester vs AFC Telford United?

Chester vs AFC Telford United (National League North) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Deva Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Chester v AFC Telford United: numbers & prediction