Curzon Ashton v Southport Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCurzon Ashton to win ✗39% · @3.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54

Curzon Ashton vs Southport: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Monday 6 April: Curzon Ashton v Southport in the National League North, played at Tameside Stadium.

Current form

Curzon Ashton, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Radcliffe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Southport, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Marine, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Southport, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Curzon Ashton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Curzon Ashton 1.7 xG, Southport 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Curzon Ashton 39%, draw 22%, Southport 39%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Curzon Ashton to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Curzon Ashton 1–1 Southport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Curzon Ashton39%fair 2.57 · @3.25

Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50

Southport39%fair 2.57 · @1.95

2.87Expected goals

1.67Curzon Ashton xG

1.20Southport xG

62%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–09%

2–08%

1–27%

0–17%

From our goals model: Curzon Ashton 1.7 – 1.2 Southport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Curzon Ashton to win ✗	39%	2.57	3.25 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.29	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.60	1.55
Draw no bet	Curzon Ashton (draw no bet) ✗	50%	2.00	–
Asian handicap	Southport +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.81	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	67%	1.50	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.20	–
First team to score	Curzon Ashton to score first ✗	55%	1.82	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.48	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Curzon Ashton / FT Curzon Ashton ✗	29%	3.41	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.54	–

Curzon Ashton – last 5

DLDLW

3 Apr	@ Radcliffe	3–3	D
17 Mar	@ Spennymoor Town	1–4	L
10 Mar	vs Oxford City	2–2	D
24 Feb	vs Darlington 1883	1–2	L
21 Feb	vs Worksop Town	3–1	W

2.0Scored / game

2.4Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Southport – last 6

WWWWDD

3 Apr	vs Marine	2–1	W
17 Mar	vs Alfreton Town	2–1	W
10 Mar	vs Spennymoor Town	2–0	W
24 Feb	@ Radcliffe	2–1	W
21 Feb	@ Kidderminster Harriers	1–1	D
17 Feb	vs Buxton	0–0	D

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Curzon Ashton vs Southport?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Curzon Ashton vs Southport?

On our numbers Curzon Ashton have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Southport 39%.

How many goals will there be in Curzon Ashton vs Southport?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Curzon Ashton vs Southport?

Our predicted score is Curzon Ashton 1–1 Southport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Curzon Ashton vs Southport?

Curzon Ashton vs Southport (National League North) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tameside Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Curzon Ashton v Southport: numbers & prediction

Curzon Ashton