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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leamington v Alfreton Town: numbers & prediction

National League North · England · Your Co-op Community Stadium

Leamington

LLLLW
1–2
FT

Alfreton Town

DWLWL
Leamington 39%Draw 25%Alfreton Town 37% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.30
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeamington to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48

Leamington vs Alfreton Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leamington welcome Alfreton Town to Your Co-op Community Stadium for a National League North fixture on Monday 6 April (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Leamington, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bedford Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Alfreton Town, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Worksop Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Alfreton Town, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Leamington.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leamington 1.4 xG, Alfreton Town 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leamington 39%, draw 25%, Alfreton Town 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leamington 1–1 Alfreton Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leamington39%fair 2.59 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.35
Alfreton Town37%fair 2.72 · @2.40
2.74Expected goals
1.44Leamington xG
1.30Alfreton Town xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Leamington 1.4 – 1.3 Alfreton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeamington to win ✗39%2.592.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.70
Draw no betLeamington (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapAlfreton Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.001.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreLeamington to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leamington / FT Leamington ✗24%4.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.48–

Recent results

Leamington – last 6

LLLLWL
3 Apr@ Bedford Town1–3L
24 Marvs King's Lynn Town2–5L
17 Marvs Buxton0–1L
10 Mar@ Hereford1–5L
3 Mar@ AFC Telford United2–1W
24 Febvs Merthyr Town1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Alfreton Town – last 6

DWLWLD
3 Aprvs Worksop Town1–1D
31 Marvs Chorley1–0W
24 Marvs Macclesfield0–2L
19 Marvs Hereford2–1W
17 Mar@ Southport1–2L
10 Marvs Radcliffe1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leamington and Alfreton Town.

Leamington vs Alfreton Town head-to-head page →

More National League North predictions

League hub
FT AFC Fylde4 Radcliffe3 167%1.35X18%4.80215%6.60 2.4–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.38 ✓
FT AFC Telford United1 Kidderminster Harriers2 129%2.75X25%3.55246%2.20 1.1–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.45 ✓
FT Curzon Ashton1 Southport3 139%3.25X22%3.50239%1.95 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Hereford3 Merthyr Town0 142%2.40X23%3.75235%2.40 1.8–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.33 ✗
FT King's Lynn Town0 Bedford Town1 152%1.68X25%3.75224%4.20 1.6–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.48 ✓
FT Macclesfield0 Chester2 151%1.80X26%3.65222%3.70 1.6–1.1xG 1XMacclesfield or draw 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Marine2 Chorley1 139%2.75X25%3.20236%2.38 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Oxford City2 Peterborough Sports0 159%1.85X22%3.45219%3.70 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leamington vs Alfreton Town?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Leamington vs Alfreton Town?

On our numbers Leamington have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alfreton Town 37%.

How many goals will there be in Leamington vs Alfreton Town?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leamington vs Alfreton Town?

Our predicted score is Leamington 1–1 Alfreton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Leamington vs Alfreton Town?

Leamington vs Alfreton Town (National League North) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Your Co-op Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.