Marine v Chorley Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMarine to win ✓39% · @2.75

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.35

Marine vs Chorley: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Monday 6 April: Marine v Chorley in the National League North, played at Rossett Park. In the table, Marine are 16th, lower half, on 19 points after 15 matches; Chorley are 13th (lower half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Marine, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Southport, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Chorley, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over AFC Fylde, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Chorley, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Marine.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marine 1.5 xG, Chorley 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Marine 39%, draw 25%, Chorley 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Marine to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marine 1–1 Chorley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marine39%fair 2.57 · @2.75

Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.20

Chorley36%fair 2.79 · @2.38

2.85Expected goals

1.51Marine xG

1.34Chorley xG

60%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

2–19%

1–09%

1–28%

0–18%

2–07%

From our goals model: Marine 1.5 – 1.3 Chorley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Marine to win ✓	39%	2.57	2.75 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.67	1.67
Draw no bet	Marine (draw no bet) ✓	52%	1.92	–
Asian handicap	Chorley +1 (Asian handicap)	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.95	1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	–
First team to score	Marine to score first ✓	50%	2.01	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.45	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Marine / FT Marine ✓	24%	4.12	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	11.35	–

Marine – last 6

LLDLLW

3 Apr	@ Southport	1–2	L
31 Mar	@ AFC Fylde	0–2	L
17 Mar	@ Peterborough Sports	0–0	D
10 Mar	vs Macclesfield	2–4	L
24 Feb	@ Kidderminster Harriers	0–4	L
21 Feb	@ Oxford City	2–0	W

0.8Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Chorley – last 6

WLWDLL

3 Apr	vs AFC Fylde	2–0	W
31 Mar	@ Alfreton Town	0–1	L
17 Mar	vs Kidderminster Harriers	2–1	W
10 Mar	vs South Shields	1–1	D
24 Feb	@ Spennymoor Town	0–1	L
21 Feb	@ Bedford Town	0–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marine vs Chorley?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Marine vs Chorley?

On our numbers Marine have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chorley 36%.

How many goals will there be in Marine vs Chorley?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marine vs Chorley?

Our predicted score is Marine 1–1 Chorley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Marine vs Chorley?

Marine vs Chorley (National League North) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rossett Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Marine v Chorley: numbers & prediction