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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lipno Stęszew v Unia Swarzędz: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 2 · Poland · Boisko Lipno Stęszew
4–3
FT
Lipno Stęszew 32%Draw 24%Unia Swarzędz 45% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.60
56%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnia Swarzędz to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Unia Swarzędz travel to face Lipno Stęszew on Saturday 30 May in the III Liga Group 2, with Boisko Lipno Stęszew the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Lipno Stęszew are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Unia Swarzędz are 7th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Lipno Stęszew, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Victoria Września, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Unia Swarzędz, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Elana Toruń, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Unia Swarzędz, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Lipno Stęszew.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lipno Stęszew 1.3 xG, Unia Swarzędz 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lipno Stęszew 32%, draw 24%, Unia Swarzędz 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lipno Stęszew 1–2 Unia Swarzędz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lipno Stęszew32%fair 3.16 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.50
Unia Swarzędz45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
2.88Expected goals
1.28Lipno Stęszew xG
1.60Unia Swarzędz xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Lipno Stęszew 1.3 – 1.6 Unia Swarzędz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnia Swarzędz to win ✗45%2.242.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.31–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betUnia Swarzędz (draw no bet) ✗59%1.71–
Asian handicapLipno Stęszew +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
First team to scoreUnia Swarzędz to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Unia Swarzędz / FT Unia Swarzędz ✗27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.88–

Recent results

Lipno Stęszew – last 6

WLWWDL
23 May@ Victoria Września3–1W
17 Mayvs Luzino0–5L
13 May@ Kluczevia Stargard3–0W
1 Mayvs Noteć Czarnków1–0W
4 Aprvs Polonia Środa1–1D
27 Mar@ Tłuchowia1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Unia Swarzędz – last 6

WWWDWW
17 May@ Elana Toruń4–0W
13 Mayvs Victoria Września2–1W
8 May@ Noteć Czarnków1–0W
1 Mayvs Stargard Szczeciński0–0D
10 Apr@ Polonia Środa1–0W
3 Aprvs Pogoń Szczecin II1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lipno Stęszew and Unia Swarzędz.

Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz?

On our numbers Lipno Stęszew have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Unia Swarzędz 45%.

How many goals will there be in Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz?

Our predicted score is Lipno Stęszew 1–2 Unia Swarzędz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz?

Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.