Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultPolonia Środa to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chancePolonia Środa or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.07
Polonia Środa vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Polonia Środa welcome Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce to Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej for a III Liga Group 2 fixture on Saturday 30 May (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Polonia Środa, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kluczevia Stargard, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lech Poznań II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Polonia Środa, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Środa 2.0 xG, Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Środa 57%, draw 22%, Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 21%.
Lower-risk option: Polonia Środa or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Polonia Środa or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Środa 2–1 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polonia Środa57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.75
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce21%fair 4.65 · @3.25
3.08Expected goals
2.01Polonia Środa xG
1.07Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Polonia Środa 2.0 – 1.1 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Środa to win✓
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Polonia Środa or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Polonia Środa (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Polonia Środa to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Polonia Środa ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Środa / FT Polonia Środa✓
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Polonia Środa – last 6
WWLWLL
23 May
@ Kluczevia Stargard
2–1
W
17 May
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
4–0
W
13 May
@ Noteć Czarnków
0–2
L
8 May
vs Tłuchowia
3–1
W
1 May
@ Wda Świecie
2–3
L
10 Apr
vs Unia Swarzędz
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce – last 6
WDLDLL
23 May
vs Lech Poznań II
3–0
W
13 May
vs Stargard Szczeciński
0–0
D
30 Apr
@ Luzino
3–4
L
19 Apr
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
0–0
D
4 Apr
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Wda Świecie
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Środa and Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce.
What is the prediction for Polonia Środa vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce?
Our pick is Polonia Środa or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce?
On our numbers Polonia Środa have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 21%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Środa vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Środa vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce?
Our predicted score is Polonia Środa 2–1 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Polonia Środa vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce?
Polonia Środa vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tłuchowia5
Cartusia Kartuzy0
Zawisza Bydgoszcz2