Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Stargard Szczeciński to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStargard Szczeciński to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceStargard Szczeciński or draw ✓80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 30 May the III Liga Group 2 brings Stargard Szczeciński against Flota Świnoujście at Stadion Miejski. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Stargard Szczeciński are 6th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Flota Świnoujście are 15th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Stargard Szczeciński, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Tłuchowia, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Flota Świnoujście, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pogoń Szczecin II, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stargard Szczeciński 2.1 xG, Flota Świnoujście 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stargard Szczeciński 59%, draw 21%, Flota Świnoujście 20%.
Price worth noting: Stargard Szczeciński to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stargard Szczeciński 2–1 Flota Świnoujście. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stargard Szczeciński59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.70
Flota Świnoujście20%fair 4.97 · @3.50
3.15Expected goals
2.12Stargard Szczeciński xG
1.03Flota Świnoujście xG
53%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Stargard Szczeciński 2.1 – 1.0 Flota Świnoujście expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stargard Szczeciński to win✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Stargard Szczeciński or draw✓
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Stargard Szczeciński (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Stargard Szczeciński -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Stargard Szczeciński to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Stargard Szczeciński ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Stargard Szczeciński – last 6
WDDWDD
22 May
@ Tłuchowia
4–1
W
17 May
vs Noteć Czarnków
1–1
D
13 May
@ Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
0–0
D
8 May
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
3–0
W
1 May
@ Unia Swarzędz
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Lech Poznań II
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Flota Świnoujście – last 6
LWWLWL
17 May
vs Pogoń Szczecin II
1–2
L
13 May
@ Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
3–1
W
1 May
@ Zawisza Bydgoszcz
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Lech Poznań II
1–3
L
4 Apr
@ Kluczevia Stargard
3–2
W
1 Apr
@ Polonia Środa
2–6
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stargard Szczeciński and Flota Świnoujście.
What is the prediction for Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście?
On our numbers Stargard Szczeciński have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flota Świnoujście 20%.
How many goals will there be in Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście?
Our predicted score is Stargard Szczeciński 2–1 Flota Świnoujście, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście?
Stargard Szczeciński vs Flota Świnoujście (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce1
Tłuchowia5
Cartusia Kartuzy0
Zawisza Bydgoszcz2