Elana Toruń v Tłuchowia Prediction & Expected Goals (30 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTłuchowia to win ✓48% · @1.80

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31

Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tłuchowia travel to face Elana Toruń on Saturday 30 May in the III Liga Group 2, with Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Elana Toruń, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Noteć Czarnków, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Tłuchowia, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Stargard Szczeciński, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tłuchowia, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.0 for Elana Toruń.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Elana Toruń 1.5 xG, Tłuchowia 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Elana Toruń 32%, draw 20%, Tłuchowia 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elana Toruń 1–2 Tłuchowia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Elana Toruń32%fair 3.16 · @3.00

Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.50

Tłuchowia48%fair 2.07 · @1.80

3.16Expected goals

1.49Elana Toruń xG

1.68Tłuchowia xG

52%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

2–18%

0–17%

2–27%

1–06%

From our goals model: Elana Toruń 1.5 – 1.7 Tłuchowia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tłuchowia to win ✓	48%	2.07	1.80
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.25	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.92	–
Draw no bet	Tłuchowia (draw no bet) ✓	60%	1.65	–
Asian handicap	Elana Toruń +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.21	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	79%	1.27	–
First team to score	Tłuchowia to score first	51%	1.97	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	38%	2.61	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Tłuchowia / FT Tłuchowia ✓	25%	3.92	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.31	–

Elana Toruń – last 6

LLLLLL

23 May	vs Noteć Czarnków	0–3	L
17 May	vs Unia Swarzędz	0–4	L
13 May	@ Pogoń Szczecin II	0–4	L
1 May	@ Victoria Września	2–3	L
19 Apr	@ Luzino	1–2	L
3 Apr	vs Wda Świecie	0–1	L

0.5Scored / game

2.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Tłuchowia – last 6

LWLDLL

22 May	vs Stargard Szczeciński	1–4	L
13 May	vs Lech Poznań II	3–1	W
8 May	@ Polonia Środa	1–3	L
1 May	vs Pogoń Szczecin II	3–3	D
19 Apr	@ Victoria Września	0–2	L
1 Apr	vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0–1	L

1.3Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	16	11	4	1	+22	37
2	Kluczevia Stargard	16	9	3	4	+4	30
3	Luzino	16	9	2	5	+15	29
4	Wda Świecie	16	8	5	3	+4	29
5	Lech Poznań II	16	8	3	5	+11	27
6	Stargard Szczeciński	16	6	6	4	+9	24
7	Unia Swarzędz	16	6	4	6	+4	22
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	16	5	6	5	+2	21
9	Noteć Czarnków	16	6	3	7	-2	21
10	Kalisz	16	4	8	4	-2	20
11	Elana Toruń	16	5	5	6	-3	20
12	Gedania Gdansk	16	4	7	5	0	19
13	Grom Nowy Staw	16	6	1	9	-1	19
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	16	4	6	6	-5	18
15	Flota Świnoujście	16	5	3	8	-13	18
16	Lipno Stęszew	16	4	2	10	-11	14
17	Victoria Września	16	2	8	6	-12	14
18	Kotwica Kórnik	16	3	2	11	-22	11

Team

Pts

+22

+15

+11

-2

-2

-3

-1

-5

-13

-11

-12

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia?

On our numbers Elana Toruń have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tłuchowia 48%.

How many goals will there be in Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia?

Our predicted score is Elana Toruń 1–2 Tłuchowia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia?

Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Elana Toruń v Tłuchowia: numbers & prediction