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Chełmianka Chełm v Stal Kraśnik: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 4 · Poland · Stadion Miejski

Stal Kraśnik

Chełmianka Chełm 61%Draw 23%Stal Kraśnik 17% Expected goals 1.86 – 0.84

61%

Betarazi pick

Chełmianka Chełm to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

5/10Rating

1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultChełmianka Chełm to win ✓61% · @1.48

Double chanceChełmianka Chełm or draw ✓83% · @1.12

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.82

Chełmianka Chełm vs Stal Kraśnik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 14 March the III Liga Group 4 brings Chełmianka Chełm against Stal Kraśnik at Stadion Miejski. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chełmianka Chełm 1.9 xG, Stal Kraśnik 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Chełmianka Chełm 61%, draw 23%, Stal Kraśnik 17%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chełmianka Chełm to win (61%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chełmianka Chełm 1–0 Stal Kraśnik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chełmianka Chełm61%fair 1.65 · @1.48

Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.20

Stal Kraśnik17%fair 5.97 · @5.25

2.70Expected goals

1.86Chełmianka Chełm xG

0.84Stal Kraśnik xG

48%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

2–012%

1–110%

2–110%

3–07%

0–07%

From our goals model: Chełmianka Chełm 1.9 – 0.8 Stal Kraśnik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Chełmianka Chełm to win ✓	61%	1.65	1.48
Double chance	Chełmianka Chełm or draw ✓	83%	1.20	1.12
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	52%	1.94	–
Draw no bet	Chełmianka Chełm (draw no bet) ✓	78%	1.28	–
Asian handicap	Chełmianka Chełm -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.81	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	Chełmianka Chełm to score first ✓	64%	1.55	–
Half-time result	Chełmianka Chełm ahead at half-time ✓	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Chełmianka Chełm / FT Chełmianka Chełm ✓	39%	2.58	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–0 ✗	7%	13.82	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chełmianka Chełm and Stal Kraśnik.

Chełmianka Chełm vs Stal Kraśnik head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 4 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	16	12	4	0	+20	40
2	KSZO 1929	16	8	5	3	+13	29
3	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	+8	29
4	Wisłoka Dębica	16	9	2	5	+4	29
5	Naprzód	16	8	4	4	+5	28
6	Czarni Połaniec	16	8	4	4	+3	28
7	Wisła Kraków II	16	7	4	5	+1	25
8	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	16	7	3	6	+6	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	+3	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	6	3	7	0	21
11	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	-3	19
12	Jarosław	16	5	3	8	+2	18
13	Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	-14	17
14	Sokół Kolb.	16	3	7	6	-4	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	-6	15
16	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	16	3	4	9	-15	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	-10	12
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	16	3	3	10	-13	12

More III Liga Group 4 predictions

League hub

Korona Kielce II4

Sparta KW2 175%1.06X13%11.00211%19.00 2.8–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 91% ✓

Czarni Połaniec0

KSZO 19291 122%5.25X23%4.80256%1.46 1.2–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.47 ✓

–

Avia Świdnik0

Wisła Kraków II0 155%1.50X24%4.00220%5.00 1.9–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.44

–

Wiślanie Jaśkowice0

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów0 159%1.65X19%4.00221%3.90 2.0–1.1xG 1Wiślanie Jaśkowice to win 59%@1.65

–

Naprzód

Cracovia Kraków II 151%2.10X21%3.75229%2.95 2.2–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.51

–

Wisłoka Dębica

Świdniczanka Świdnik 157%1.80X23%3.80220%3.80 1.8–0.9xG 1XWisłoka Dębica or draw 80%@1.22

–

Sokół Kolb.

Podlasie Biała Podlaska 140%2.80X25%3.60235%2.25 1.6–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.52

–

Star Starachowice

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 150%1.83X22%3.70227%3.30 1.8–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.65

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chełmianka Chełm vs Stal Kraśnik?

Our pick is Chełmianka Chełm to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Chełmianka Chełm vs Stal Kraśnik?

On our numbers Chełmianka Chełm have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stal Kraśnik 17%.

How many goals will there be in Chełmianka Chełm vs Stal Kraśnik?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chełmianka Chełm vs Stal Kraśnik?

Our predicted score is Chełmianka Chełm 1–0 Stal Kraśnik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Chełmianka Chełm vs Stal Kraśnik?

Chełmianka Chełm vs Stal Kraśnik (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Chełmianka Chełm v Stal Kraśnik: numbers & prediction