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Sokół Kolb. v Podlasie Biała Podlaska: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 4 · Poland · Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna
Sat 14 Mar 2026
Sokół Kolb. 40%Draw 25%Podlasie Biała Podlaska 35% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.23
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.52

6/10Rating
1.52Odds
1

Value bet: Sokół Kolb. to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultSokół Kolb. to win40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.82

Sokół Kolb. vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sokół Kolb. welcome Podlasie Biała Podlaska to Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna for a III Liga Group 4 fixture on Saturday 14 March (15:00 WAT). In the table, Sokół Kolb. are 14th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Podlasie Biała Podlaska are 16th (in the drop zone) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sokół Kolb. 1.6 xG, Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sokół Kolb. 40%, draw 25%, Podlasie Biała Podlaska 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Sokół Kolb. to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.52). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sokół Kolb. 1–1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sokół Kolb.40%fair 2.48 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.60
Podlasie Biała Podlaska35%fair 2.87 · @2.25
2.82Expected goals
1.58Sokół Kolb. xG
1.23Podlasie Biała Podlaska xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–07%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Sokół Kolb. 1.6 – 1.2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSokół Kolb. to win40%2.482.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score64%1.571.50
Draw no betSokół Kolb. (draw no bet)54%1.86–
Asian handicapPodlasie Biała Podlaska +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.271.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals56%1.771.56
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.541.52
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.241.20
First team to scoreSokół Kolb. to score first53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sokół Kolb. / FT Sokół Kolb.27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.82–

Recent results

Sokół Kolb. – last 1

L
14 Febvs Czarni Połaniec0–2L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Podlasie Biała Podlaska – last 1

D
1 Mar@ Naprzód4–4D
4.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sokół Kolb. and Podlasie Biała Podlaska.

Sokół Kolb. vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chełmianka Chełm161240+2040
2KSZO 192916853+1329
3Hetman Zamosc16853+829
4Wisłoka Dębica16925+429
5Naprzód16844+528
6Czarni Połaniec16844+328
7Wisła Kraków II16745+125
8Wiślanie Jaśkowice16736+624
9Star Starachowice16655+323
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg16637021
11KS Wieczysta Krakow II16547-319
12Jarosław16538+218
13Busko-Zdroj16529-1417
14Sokół Kolb.16376-416
15Korona Kielce II16439-615
16Podlasie Biała Podlaska16349-1513
17Moravia Morawica163310-1012
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów163310-1312

More III Liga Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sokół Kolb. vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.

Who will win Sokół Kolb. vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?

On our numbers Sokół Kolb. have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Podlasie Biała Podlaska 35%.

How many goals will there be in Sokół Kolb. vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sokół Kolb. vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?

Our predicted score is Sokół Kolb. 1–1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sokół Kolb. vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?

Sokół Kolb. vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.