Star Starachowice v Siarka Tarnobrzeg Prediction & Expected Goals (14 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultStar Starachowice to win50% · @1.83

Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · fair 1.86

GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · fair 1.23

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.62

Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Star Starachowice welcome Siarka Tarnobrzeg to Stadion Miejski for a III Liga Group 4 fixture on Saturday 14 March (17:00 WAT). In the table, Star Starachowice are 9th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Siarka Tarnobrzeg are 10th (lower half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Star Starachowice 1.8 xG, Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Star Starachowice 50%, draw 22%, Siarka Tarnobrzeg 27%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Star Starachowice 2–1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Star Starachowice50%fair 1.98 · @1.83

Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.70

Siarka Tarnobrzeg27%fair 3.66 · @3.30

3.08Expected goals

1.77Star Starachowice xG

1.32Siarka Tarnobrzeg xG

54%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–08%

2–07%

1–27%

2–26%

From our goals model: Star Starachowice 1.8 – 1.3 Siarka Tarnobrzeg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Star Starachowice to win	50%	1.98	1.83
Double chance	Either team to win	78%	1.29	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	54%	1.86	–
Draw no bet	Star Starachowice (draw no bet)	65%	1.54	–
Asian handicap	Siarka Tarnobrzeg +1 (Asian handicap)	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.23	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.72	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	80%	1.25	–
First team to score	Star Starachowice to score first	55%	1.83	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	39%	2.58	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Star Starachowice / FT Star Starachowice	29%	3.41	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	9%	10.62	–

Star Starachowice – last 2

7 Mar	@ Świdniczanka Świdnik	1–0	W
28 Feb	vs Sparta KW	4–0	W

2.5Scored / game

0.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Siarka Tarnobrzeg – last 1

14 Feb

vs Wisłoka Dębica

2–3

2.0Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	16	12	4	0	+20	40
2	KSZO 1929	16	8	5	3	+13	29
3	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	+8	29
4	Wisłoka Dębica	16	9	2	5	+4	29
5	Naprzód	16	8	4	4	+5	28
6	Czarni Połaniec	16	8	4	4	+3	28
7	Wisła Kraków II	16	7	4	5	+1	25
8	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	16	7	3	6	+6	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	+3	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	6	3	7	0	21
11	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	-3	19
12	Jarosław	16	5	3	8	+2	18
13	Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	-14	17
14	Sokół Kolb.	16	3	7	6	-4	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	-6	15
16	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	16	3	4	9	-15	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	-10	12
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	16	3	3	10	-13	12

Team

Pts

+20

+13

KS Wieczysta Krakow II

-3

-14

-4

-6

Podlasie Biała Podlaska

-15

Moravia Morawica

-10

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

On our numbers Star Starachowice have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Siarka Tarnobrzeg 27%.

How many goals will there be in Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

Our predicted score is Star Starachowice 2–1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Star Starachowice v Siarka Tarnobrzeg: numbers & prediction