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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Korona Kielce II v Sparta KW: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 4 · Poland · Stadion Korona

Sparta KW

Korona Kielce II 75%Draw 13%Sparta KW 11% Expected goals 2.85 – 1.16

91%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.10 · Won ✓

10/10Rating

–Odds

Picks by market

ResultKorona Kielce II to win ✓75% · @1.06

Double chanceKorona Kielce II or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Korona Kielce II vs Sparta KW: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Saturday 14 March: Korona Kielce II v Sparta KW in the III Liga Group 4, played at Stadion Korona.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Korona Kielce II 2.8 xG, Sparta KW 1.2 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 78% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Korona Kielce II 75%, draw 13%, Sparta KW 11%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (91%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Korona Kielce II 2–1 Sparta KW. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Korona Kielce II75%fair 1.33 · @1.06

Draw13%fair 7.48 · @11.00

Sparta KW11%fair 8.75 · @19.00

4.01Expected goals

2.85Korona Kielce II xG

1.16Sparta KW xG

53%Both score

78%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

3–18%

2–07%

3–07%

1–16%

4–16%

From our goals model: Korona Kielce II 2.8 – 1.2 Sparta KW expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Korona Kielce II to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.06
Double chance	Korona Kielce II or draw ✓	89%	1.13	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.87	–
Draw no bet	Korona Kielce II (draw no bet) ✓	87%	1.15	–
Asian handicap	Korona Kielce II -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.17
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	57%	1.76	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	63%	1.60	–
First team to score	Korona Kielce II to score first	70%	1.44	–
Half-time result	Korona Kielce II ahead at half-time ✓	55%	1.83	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Korona Kielce II / FT Korona Kielce II ✓	50%	2.02	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.70	–

Recent results

Korona Kielce II – last 1

1 Mar

vs Świdniczanka Świdnik

4–0

4.0Scored / game

0.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Sparta KW – last 2

8 Mar	vs Avia Świdnik	0–6	L
28 Feb	@ Star Starachowice	0–4	L

0.0Scored / game

5.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Korona Kielce II and Sparta KW.

Korona Kielce II vs Sparta KW head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 4 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	16	12	4	0	+20	40
2	KSZO 1929	16	8	5	3	+13	29
3	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	+8	29
4	Wisłoka Dębica	16	9	2	5	+4	29
5	Naprzód	16	8	4	4	+5	28
6	Czarni Połaniec	16	8	4	4	+3	28
7	Wisła Kraków II	16	7	4	5	+1	25
8	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	16	7	3	6	+6	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	+3	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	6	3	7	0	21
11	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	-3	19
12	Jarosław	16	5	3	8	+2	18
13	Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	-14	17
14	Sokół Kolb.	16	3	7	6	-4	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	-6	15
16	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	16	3	4	9	-15	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	-10	12
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	16	3	3	10	-13	12

More III Liga Group 4 predictions

League hub

Czarni Połaniec0

KSZO 19291 122%5.25X23%4.80256%1.46 1.2–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.47 ✓

Chełmianka Chełm4

Stal Kraśnik1 161%1.48X23%4.20217%5.25 1.9–0.8xG 1Chełmianka Chełm to win 61%@1.48 ✓

–

Avia Świdnik0

Wisła Kraków II0 155%1.50X24%4.00220%5.00 1.9–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.44

–

Wiślanie Jaśkowice0

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów0 159%1.65X19%4.00221%3.90 2.0–1.1xG 1Wiślanie Jaśkowice to win 59%@1.65

–

Naprzód

Cracovia Kraków II 151%2.10X21%3.75229%2.95 2.2–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.51

–

Wisłoka Dębica

Świdniczanka Świdnik 157%1.80X23%3.80220%3.80 1.8–0.9xG 1XWisłoka Dębica or draw 80%@1.22

–

Sokół Kolb.

Podlasie Biała Podlaska 140%2.80X25%3.60235%2.25 1.6–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.52

–

Star Starachowice

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 150%1.83X22%3.70227%3.30 1.8–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.65

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Korona Kielce II vs Sparta KW?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 91% chance.

Who will win Korona Kielce II vs Sparta KW?

On our numbers Korona Kielce II have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Sparta KW 11%.

How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce II vs Sparta KW?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Korona Kielce II vs Sparta KW?

Our predicted score is Korona Kielce II 2–1 Sparta KW, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Korona Kielce II vs Sparta KW?

Korona Kielce II vs Sparta KW (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Korona.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.