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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alpendorada v Cinfães: numbers & prediction

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B · Portugal · Estádio Municipal de Alpendorada
0–0
FT
Alpendorada 47%Draw 28%Cinfães 26% Expected goals 1.33 – 0.82
74%
Betarazi pick

Alpendorada or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlpendorada to win ✗47% · @2.05
Double chanceAlpendorada or draw ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.45

Alpendorada vs Cinfães: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Alpendorada v Cinfães in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B, played at Estádio Municipal de Alpendorada. In the table, Alpendorada are 12th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 7 matches; Cinfães are 10th (lower half) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alpendorada 1.3 xG, Cinfães 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alpendorada 47%, draw 28%, Cinfães 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Alpendorada or draw (74%) at 1.22.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Alpendorada or draw (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alpendorada 1–0 Cinfães. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alpendorada47%fair 2.13 · @2.05
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.88
Cinfães26%fair 3.92 · @3.60
2.15Expected goals
1.33Alpendorada xG
0.82Cinfães xG
43%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: Alpendorada 1.3 – 0.8 Cinfães expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlpendorada to win ✗47%2.132.05
Double chanceAlpendorada or draw ✓74%1.341.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.74–
Draw no betAlpendorada (draw no bet)65%1.54–
Asian handicapCinfães +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreAlpendorada to score first ✗55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alpendorada / FT Alpendorada ✗28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.45–

Recent results

Alpendorada – last 1

D
15 Feb@ Florgrade2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Cinfães – last 1

D
15 Febvs Vila Meã1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alpendorada and Cinfães.

Alpendorada vs Cinfães head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ovarense8710+1322
2Machico8440+816
3Camacha7430+615
4Castro Daire8341+413
5Sanjoanense8332+112
6Salgueiros8251011
7Florgrade8323-211
8União Lamas8233-39
9Beira-Mar8071-27
10Cinfães7133-26
11Estrela Calheta8134-66
12Alpendorada7124-45
13Guarda8116-64
14Sousense7034-73

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alpendorada vs Cinfães?

Our pick is Alpendorada or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Alpendorada vs Cinfães?

On our numbers Alpendorada have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Cinfães 26%.

How many goals will there be in Alpendorada vs Cinfães?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alpendorada vs Cinfães?

Our predicted score is Alpendorada 1–0 Cinfães, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Alpendorada vs Cinfães?

Alpendorada vs Cinfães (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Alpendorada.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.