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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

União Lamas v Florgrade: numbers & prediction

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B · Portugal · Estadio Comendador Henrique Amorim
União Lamas 38%Draw 27%Florgrade 35% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.17
59%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnião Lamas to win ✗38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.02

União Lamas vs Florgrade: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

União Lamas welcome Florgrade to Estadio Comendador Henrique Amorim for a Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B fixture on Sunday 22 February (16:00 WAT). In the table, União Lamas are 8th, lower half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Florgrade are 7th (upper half) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give União Lamas 1.3 xG, Florgrade 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – União Lamas 38%, draw 27%, Florgrade 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: União Lamas 1–1 Florgrade. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

União Lamas38%fair 2.61 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.00
Florgrade35%fair 2.88 · @2.75
2.42Expected goals
1.25União Lamas xG
1.17Florgrade xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: União Lamas 1.3 – 1.2 Florgrade expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnião Lamas to win ✗38%2.612.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betUnião Lamas (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapFlorgrade +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.711.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreUnião Lamas to score first ✗47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT União Lamas / FT União Lamas ✗22%4.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.02–

Recent results

União Lamas – last 1

L
15 Feb@ Leça0–4L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Florgrade – last 1

D
15 Febvs Alpendorada2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between União Lamas and Florgrade.

União Lamas vs Florgrade head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ovarense8710+1322
2Machico8440+816
3Camacha7430+615
4Castro Daire8341+413
5Sanjoanense8332+112
6Salgueiros8251011
7Florgrade8323-211
8União Lamas8233-39
9Beira-Mar8071-27
10Cinfães7133-26
11Estrela Calheta8134-66
12Alpendorada7124-45
13Guarda8116-64
14Sousense7034-73

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for União Lamas vs Florgrade?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win União Lamas vs Florgrade?

On our numbers União Lamas have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Florgrade 35%.

How many goals will there be in União Lamas vs Florgrade?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for União Lamas vs Florgrade?

Our predicted score is União Lamas 1–1 Florgrade, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is União Lamas vs Florgrade?

União Lamas vs Florgrade (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Comendador Henrique Amorim.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.