Vila Meã 50%Draw 27%Resende 22%Expected goals 1.31 – 0.93
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultVila Meã to win ✗50% · @1.80
Double chanceVila Meã or draw ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.18
Vila Meã vs Resende: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Resende travel to face Vila Meã on Sunday 22 February in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B, with Estadio Municipal de Vila Mea the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vila Meã 1.3 xG, Resende 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vila Meã 50%, draw 27%, Resende 22%.
Lower-risk option: Vila Meã or draw (78%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vila Meã 1–0 Resende. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vila Meã50%fair 1.99 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.20
Resende22%fair 4.47 · @4.10
2.24Expected goals
1.31Vila Meã xG
0.93Resende xG
43%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Vila Meã 1.3 – 0.9 Resende expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vila Meã to win✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Double chance
Vila Meã or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Vila Meã (draw no bet)
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Resende +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Vila Meã to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vila Meã / FT Vila Meã✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.18
–
Recent results
Vila Meã – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Cinfães
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Resende – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Salgueiros
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vila Meã and Resende.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Vila Meã vs Resende?
On our numbers Vila Meã have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Resende 22%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Meã vs Resende?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Meã vs Resende?
Our predicted score is Vila Meã 1–0 Resende, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vila Meã vs Resende?
Vila Meã vs Resende (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Vila Mea.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Anadia0
Vila Real0
Alpendorada0
Cinfães0
Salgueiros1
Aparecida1
União Lamas0
Florgrade1
Gouveia0
Leça3
Beira-Mar1
Rebordosa3