Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLeça to win ✓66% · @1.22
Double chanceLeça or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✓7% · fair 13.69
Gouveia vs Leça: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leça travel to face Gouveia on Sunday 22 February in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B, with Estádio Municipal do Farvão the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gouveia 0.8 xG, Leça 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gouveia 13%, draw 21%, Leça 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Leça to win (66%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gouveia 0–1 Leça. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gouveia13%fair 7.76 · @9.00
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @5.50
Leça66%fair 1.51 · @1.22
2.65Expected goals
0.81Gouveia xG
1.84Leça xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gouveia 0.8 – 1.8 Leça expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leça to win✓
66%
1.51
1.22
Double chance
Leça or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Leça (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Leça -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Leça to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Leça ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leça / FT Leça✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✓
7%
13.69
–
Recent results
Gouveia – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Vila Real
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Leça – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs União Lamas
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gouveia and Leça.
Our pick is Leça to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gouveia vs Leça?
On our numbers Gouveia have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leça 66%.
How many goals will there be in Gouveia vs Leça?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gouveia vs Leça?
Our predicted score is Gouveia 0–1 Leça, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gouveia vs Leça?
Gouveia vs Leça (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal do Farvão.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Anadia0
Vila Real0
Alpendorada0
Cinfães0
Salgueiros1
Aparecida1
União Lamas0
Florgrade1
Beira-Mar1
Rebordosa3
Vila Meã0
Resende0