Value bet: Folgore to win @ 4.00 – our chance 32% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTre Fiori to win ✗43% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.08
Folgore vs Tre Fiori: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tre Fiori travel to face Folgore on Sunday 15 February in the Campionato, with Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Folgore are 1st, leading the league, on 22 points after 8 matches; Tre Fiori are 4th (among the top four) with 17.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Folgore 1.5 xG, Tre Fiori 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Folgore 32%, draw 24%, Tre Fiori 43%.
Price worth noting: Folgore to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Folgore 2–1 Tre Fiori. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Folgore32%fair 3.09 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
Tre Fiori43%fair 2.30 · @1.73
2.73Expected goals
1.46Folgore xG
1.26Tre Fiori xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Folgore 1.5 – 1.3 Tre Fiori expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tre Fiori to win✗
43%
2.30
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Tre Fiori (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Tre Fiori +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Folgore to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Folgore / FT Folgore✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.08
–
Recent results
Folgore
No recent results on record.
Tre Fiori
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Folgore and Tre Fiori.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Folgore vs Tre Fiori?
On our numbers Folgore have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tre Fiori 43%.
How many goals will there be in Folgore vs Tre Fiori?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Folgore vs Tre Fiori?
Our predicted score is Folgore 2–1 Tre Fiori, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Folgore vs Tre Fiori?
Folgore vs Tre Fiori (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
