Tre Penne 60%Draw 24%Cosmos 16%Expected goals 1.61 – 0.79
60%
Betarazi pick
Tre Penne to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultTre Penne to win ✗60% · @1.44
Double chanceTre Penne or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.84
Tre Penne vs Cosmos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Tre Penne v Cosmos in the Campionato, played at Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo. In the table, Tre Penne are 2nd, among the top four, on 20 points after 8 matches; Cosmos are 5th (upper half) with 16.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tre Penne 1.6 xG, Cosmos 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tre Penne 60%, draw 24%, Cosmos 16%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tre Penne to win (60%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tre Penne 1–0 Cosmos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tre Penne60%fair 1.67 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @4.20
Cosmos16%fair 6.27 · @5.50
2.40Expected goals
1.61Tre Penne xG
0.79Cosmos xG
45%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Tre Penne 1.6 – 0.8 Cosmos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tre Penne to win✗
60%
1.67
1.44
Double chance
Tre Penne or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Tre Penne (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Cosmos +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Tre Penne to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tre Penne / FT Tre Penne✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.84
–
Recent results
Tre Penne
No recent results on record.
Cosmos
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tre Penne and Cosmos.
Our pick is Tre Penne to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tre Penne vs Cosmos?
On our numbers Tre Penne have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cosmos 16%.
How many goals will there be in Tre Penne vs Cosmos?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tre Penne vs Cosmos?
Our predicted score is Tre Penne 1–0 Cosmos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tre Penne vs Cosmos?
Tre Penne vs Cosmos (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
