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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Virtus v Fiorentino: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino · Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva
3–0
FT
Virtus 70%Draw 18%Fiorentino 12% Expected goals 2.22 – 0.76
70%
Betarazi pick

Virtus to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultVirtus to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceVirtus or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓9% · fair 10.82

Virtus vs Fiorentino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 15 February the Campionato brings Virtus against Fiorentino at Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Virtus are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 8 matches; Fiorentino are 8th (upper half) with 9.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Virtus 2.2 xG, Fiorentino 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 47% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus 70%, draw 18%, Fiorentino 12%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Virtus to win (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus 2–0 Fiorentino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Virtus70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.69 · @5.50
Fiorentino12%fair 8.10 · @7.50
2.98Expected goals
2.22Virtus xG
0.76Fiorentino xG
47%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Virtus 2.2 – 0.8 Fiorentino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVirtus to win ✓70%1.431.25
Double chanceVirtus or draw ✓88%1.141.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.90–
Draw no betVirtus (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapVirtus -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreVirtus to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultVirtus ahead at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Virtus / FT Virtus ✗47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓9%10.82–

Recent results

Virtus

No recent results on record.

Fiorentino

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Virtus and Fiorentino.

Virtus vs Fiorentino head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Virtus vs Fiorentino?

Our pick is Virtus to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Virtus vs Fiorentino?

On our numbers Virtus have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fiorentino 12%.

How many goals will there be in Virtus vs Fiorentino?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Virtus vs Fiorentino?

Our predicted score is Virtus 2–0 Fiorentino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Virtus vs Fiorentino?

Virtus vs Fiorentino (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.