Value bet: Libertas to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLibertas to win ✓51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 16.18
Libertas vs Faetano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Faetano travel to face Libertas on Sunday 15 February in the Campionato, with Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Libertas are 9th, lower half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Faetano are 16th (in the drop zone) with 3.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertas 1.8 xG, Faetano 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertas 51%, draw 22%, Faetano 26%.
Price worth noting: Libertas to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertas 2–1 Faetano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertas51%fair 1.95 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.60
Faetano26%fair 3.78 · @2.75
2.80Expected goals
1.83Libertas xG
0.97Faetano xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Libertas 1.8 – 1.0 Faetano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertas to win✓
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Libertas (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Faetano +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Libertas to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Libertas ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertas / FT Libertas✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
16.18
–
Recent results
Libertas
No recent results on record.
Faetano
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertas and Faetano.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Libertas vs Faetano?
On our numbers Libertas have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Faetano 26%.
How many goals will there be in Libertas vs Faetano?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertas vs Faetano?
Our predicted score is Libertas 2–1 Faetano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Libertas vs Faetano?
Libertas vs Faetano (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
