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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juvenes Dogana v Murata: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino · San Marino Stadium
5–2
FT

Murata

LLLL
Juvenes Dogana 71%Draw 18%Murata 11% Expected goals 2.06 – 0.77
58%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuvenes Dogana to win ✓71% · @1.11
Double chanceJuvenes Dogana or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.61

Juvenes Dogana vs Murata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Juvenes Dogana v Murata in the Campionato, played at San Marino Stadium. In the table, Juvenes Dogana are 11th, lower half, on 7 points after 8 matches; Murata are 14th (in the drop zone) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Juvenes Dogana, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Libertas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Murata, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tre Fiori, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juvenes Dogana 2.1 xG, Murata 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juvenes Dogana 71%, draw 18%, Murata 11%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juvenes Dogana 2–1 Murata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juvenes Dogana71%fair 1.42 · @1.11
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @8.50
Murata11%fair 8.89 · @17.00
2.82Expected goals
2.06Juvenes Dogana xG
0.77Murata xG
48%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Juvenes Dogana 2.1 – 0.8 Murata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuvenes Dogana to win ✓71%1.421.11
Double chanceJuvenes Dogana or draw ✓89%1.13–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.92–
Draw no betJuvenes Dogana (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapJuvenes Dogana -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.18–
First team to scoreJuvenes Dogana to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultJuvenes Dogana ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juvenes Dogana / FT Juvenes Dogana ✓44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%11.61–

Recent results

Juvenes Dogana – last 6

LDLLDL
8 Apr@ Libertas0–1L
22 Marvs San Marino Academy0–0D
18 Marvs La Fiorita1–2L
8 Mar@ Virtus0–2L
4 Mar@ La Fiorita0–0D
21 Feb@ Fiorentino1–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Murata – last 4

LLLL
8 Aprvs Tre Fiori0–3L
15 Marvs Tre Penne0–4L
1 Marvs Cosmos0–3L
22 Feb@ Domagnano0–5L
0.0Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Juvenes Dogana and Murata.

Juvenes Dogana vs Murata head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juvenes Dogana vs Murata?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Juvenes Dogana vs Murata?

On our numbers Juvenes Dogana have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Murata 11%.

How many goals will there be in Juvenes Dogana vs Murata?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juvenes Dogana vs Murata?

Our predicted score is Juvenes Dogana 2–1 Murata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Juvenes Dogana vs Murata?

Juvenes Dogana vs Murata (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at San Marino Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.