Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.63
Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tre Fiori welcome Pennarossa to Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini for a Campionato fixture on Sunday 26 April (14:00 WAT). In the table, Tre Fiori are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 8 matches; Pennarossa are 13th (lower half) with 5. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tre Fiori, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Faetano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Pennarossa, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cailungo, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tre Fiori, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Pennarossa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tre Fiori 2.4 xG, Pennarossa 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 49% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tre Fiori 69%, draw 18%, Pennarossa 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tre Fiori to win (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tre Fiori 2–0 Pennarossa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tre Fiori69%fair 1.44 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.00
Pennarossa12%fair 8.01 · @6.50
3.34Expected goals
2.38Tre Fiori xG
0.96Pennarossa xG
49%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Tre Fiori 2.4 – 1.0 Pennarossa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tre Fiori to win✗
69%
1.44
1.33
Double chance
Tre Fiori or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Tre Fiori (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Tre Fiori -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
First team to score
Tre Fiori to score first
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Tre Fiori ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tre Fiori / FT Tre Fiori✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
12.63
–
Recent results
Tre Fiori – last 6
WWDWWD
19 Apr
@ Faetano
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Murata
3–0
W
22 Mar
vs La Fiorita
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs Virtus
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Cailungo
3–2
W
4 Mar
@ Virtus
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pennarossa – last 3
WDL
7 Apr
@ Cailungo
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ San Marino Academy
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Folgore
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tre Fiori and Pennarossa.
What is the prediction for Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?
Our pick is Tre Fiori to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?
On our numbers Tre Fiori have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Pennarossa 12%.
How many goals will there be in Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?
Our predicted score is Tre Fiori 2–0 Pennarossa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa?
Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
