Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.75
Tre Penne vs San Giovanni: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Giovanni travel to face Tre Penne on Sunday 26 April in the Campionato, with Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Tre Penne are 2nd, among the top four, on 20 points after 8 matches; San Giovanni are 10th (lower half) with 8. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tre Penne, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Libertas, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
San Giovanni, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to La Fiorita, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tre Penne, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for San Giovanni.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tre Penne 2.2 xG, San Giovanni 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tre Penne 69%, draw 19%, San Giovanni 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tre Penne to win (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tre Penne 2–0 San Giovanni. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tre Penne69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.75
San Giovanni12%fair 8.49 · @6.00
2.82Expected goals
2.18Tre Penne xG
0.64San Giovanni xG
44%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tre Penne 2.2 – 0.6 San Giovanni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tre Penne to win✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Double chance
Tre Penne or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Tre Penne (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Tre Penne -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Tre Penne to score first✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Tre Penne ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tre Penne / FT Tre Penne✓
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
9.75
–
Recent results
Tre Penne – last 6
WDDWWW
19 Apr
@ Libertas
3–1
W
8 Apr
vs Virtus
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Folgore
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Murata
4–0
W
8 Mar
@ Domagnano
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Tre Fiori
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Giovanni – last 3
LDW
7 Apr
@ La Fiorita
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Folgore
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Cailungo
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tre Penne and San Giovanni.
What is the prediction for Tre Penne vs San Giovanni?
Our pick is Tre Penne to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tre Penne vs San Giovanni?
On our numbers Tre Penne have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and San Giovanni 12%.
How many goals will there be in Tre Penne vs San Giovanni?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tre Penne vs San Giovanni?
Our predicted score is Tre Penne 2–0 San Giovanni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tre Penne vs San Giovanni?
Tre Penne vs San Giovanni (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
