Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultVirtus to win ✓69% · @1.17
Double chanceVirtus or draw ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.04
Libertas vs Virtus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Campionato brings Libertas against Virtus at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Libertas are 9th, lower half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Virtus are 3rd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Libertas, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Tre Penne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Virtus, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Cailungo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertas 0.8 xG, Virtus 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 60%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertas 13%, draw 19%, Virtus 69%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertas 1–2 Virtus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertas13%fair 7.93 · @11.00
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @6.50
Virtus69%fair 1.45 · @1.17
2.87Expected goals
0.80Libertas xG
2.06Virtus xG
46%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Libertas 0.8 – 2.1 Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus to win✓
69%
1.45
1.17
Double chance
Virtus or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Virtus (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Virtus -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Virtus to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Virtus ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus / FT Virtus✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
8%
12.04
–
Recent results
Libertas – last 6
LWWLDW
19 Apr
vs Tre Penne
1–3
L
8 Apr
vs Juvenes Dogana
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Cosmos
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Folgore
2–4
L
21 Feb
@ La Fiorita
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Faetano
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Virtus – last 6
WDWLWD
19 Apr
@ Cailungo
6–1
W
8 Apr
@ Tre Penne
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Domagnano
3–2
W
18 Mar
@ Tre Fiori
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Juvenes Dogana
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Tre Fiori
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertas and Virtus.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Libertas vs Virtus?
On our numbers Libertas have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Virtus 69%.
How many goals will there be in Libertas vs Virtus?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertas vs Virtus?
Our predicted score is Libertas 1–2 Virtus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Libertas vs Virtus?
Libertas vs Virtus (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
