Value bet: Concarneau to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultConcarneau to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Chateauroux vs Concarneau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Friday 27 March: Chateauroux v Concarneau in the National 1, played at Stade Gaston Petit.
Current form
Chateauroux, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Stade Briochin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Concarneau, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Valenciennes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Concarneau, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Chateauroux.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chateauroux 1.1 xG, Concarneau 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chateauroux 33%, draw 26%, Concarneau 41%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Concarneau to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chateauroux 1–1 Concarneau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chateauroux33%fair 3.04 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.10
Concarneau41%fair 2.43 · @2.62
2.49Expected goals
1.12Chateauroux xG
1.37Concarneau xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Chateauroux 1.1 – 1.4 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concarneau to win✗
41%
2.43
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.83
Draw no bet
Concarneau (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Chateauroux +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Concarneau to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Concarneau / FT Concarneau✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Chateauroux – last 5
LLDLL
17 Mar
@ Stade Briochin
0–2
L
13 Mar
vs Villefranche
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Caen
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Gobelins
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Rouen
1–2
L
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Concarneau – last 5
LLDWL
20 Mar
vs Valenciennes
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Sochaux
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Dijon
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Fleury 91
4–0
W
20 Feb
vs Versailles
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chateauroux and Concarneau.
What is the prediction for Chateauroux vs Concarneau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chateauroux vs Concarneau?
On our numbers Chateauroux have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Concarneau 41%.
How many goals will there be in Chateauroux vs Concarneau?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chateauroux vs Concarneau?
Our predicted score is Chateauroux 1–1 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chateauroux vs Concarneau?
Chateauroux vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston Petit.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dijon3
Sochaux2
Stade Briochin0